Match Info

Euroleague - Round 17

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Movistar Arena (Madrid)

Referee: Calic S. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	L'Equipe, SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Real Madrid		Paris

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.2	4.55
	1.22	4.45
	1.25	4.37	Watch
	1.2	4
	1.2	4.92	Watch
	1.22	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.22)	4.47 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
78.7%

Paris
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.3%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Paris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Real Madrid - Paris Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -9.5, OT - Real Madrid (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 181, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 160.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Hezonja M.	20. Morgan J.
8. Okeke C.	9. Stevens L.
22. Tavares E.	15. Faye M.
6. Abalde A.	22. M'Baye A.
7. Campazzo F.	2. Hifi N.
Substitutes
14. Deck G.	11. Ayayi J.
16. Garuba U.	4. Cavaliere L.
1. Kramer D.	13. Dokossi A.
25. Len A.	7. Herrera S.
23. Llull S.	24. Ouattara Y.
0. Lyles T.	8. Rhoden J.
12. Maledon T.	18. Shahrvin E.
Coaches
. Scariolo S.	. Tabellini F.

Preview

Real Madrid is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Paris has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Paris has had a series of home games.

In this match, Real Madrid is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 274:270. (average 91.3:90).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 178:185. (average 89:92.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid basketball
Euroleague
16.12.25	Olimpia Milano - Real Madrid	89:82 ✺
Spanish ACB League
14.12.25	Real Madrid - Girona	112:76 ✺
Euroleague
11.12.25	Real Madrid - Baskonia	94:87 ✺
Spanish ACB League
07.12.25	Canarias - Real Madrid	70:71 ✺
Euroleague
04.12.25	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Real Madrid	75:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW
- Paris Basketball
Euroleague
16.12.25	Paris - Barcelona	69:85 ✺
French LNB
13.12.25	Nancy - Paris	97:90 ✺
Euroleague
11.12.25	Paris - Žalgiris Kaunas	105:108 ✺
French LNB
09.12.25	Paris - Le Portel	110:80 ✺
07.12.25	Paris - Saint-Quentin	99:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
15.04.25	Real Madrid - Paris	73:81
03.04.25	Real Madrid - Paris	105:104
17.12.24	Paris - Real Madrid	85:96

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