Match Info

AdmiralBet ABA League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Beogradska arena (Belgrade)

Referee: Radojkovic J. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Partizan Belgrade		Crvena Zvezda

	1	2
	1.55	2.33
	1.56	2.45
	1.61	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.63	2.31
	1.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.5)	2.33 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Partizan Belgrade
59.7%

Crvena Zvezda
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partizan Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Crvena Zvezda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partizan Belgrade than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Partizan Belgrade - Crvena Zvezda Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Partizan will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 77.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 173.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Bonga I.	11. Carter T.
12. Brown S.	12. Kalinic N.
24. Fernando B.	33. Nwora J.
1. Jones C.	37. Ojeleye S.
5. Osetkowski D.	14. Rivero J.
Substitutes
8. Bosnjakovic M.	21. Bolomboy J.
33. Calathes N.	6. Butler J.
23. Jekiri T.	7. Davidovac D.
19. Lakic A.	13. Dobric O.
11. Pokusevski A.	15. Izundu E.
13. Radanov A.	0. Miller-McIntyre C.
4. Washington D.	95. Moneke C.
Coaches
. Penarroya J.	. Obradovic S.

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Partizan won 4.

Partizan is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Crvena Zvezda has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Partizan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Partizan will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Partizan won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1595:1592. (average 79.8:79.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Partizan won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 674:640. (average 74.9:71.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Partizan Belgrade - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.73%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Partizan Belgrade Basketball
Adriatic League
10.05.26	Bosna - Partizan Belgrade	73:87 ✺
06.05.26	Partizan Belgrade - Bosna	81:73 ✺
Serbian Superleague Basketball
02.05.26	Sloboda Užice - Partizan Belgrade	55:63 ✺
30.04.26	Partizan Belgrade - Sloboda Užice	103:77 ✺
Adriatic League
19.04.26	Partizan Belgrade - Crvena Zvezda	81:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW
- KK Crvena Zvezda
Adriatic League
15.05.26	Crvena Zvezda - Cedevita Olimpija	95:86 ✺
12.05.26	Cedevita Olimpija - Crvena Zvezda	92:86 ✺
07.05.26	Crvena Zvezda - Cedevita Olimpija	101:92 ✺
Serbian Superleague Basketball
03.05.26	Crvena Zvezda - Zlatibor Čajetina	116:62 ✺
01.05.26	Zlatibor Čajetina - Crvena Zvezda	94:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
19.04.26	Partizan Belgrade - Crvena Zvezda	81:74
Euroleague
02.04.26	Crvena Zvezda - Partizan Belgrade	82:89
Adriatic League
22.03.26	Crvena Zvezda - Partizan Belgrade	100:96
Euroleague
12.12.25	Partizan Belgrade - Crvena Zvezda	79:76
Adriatic League
21.04.25	Partizan Belgrade - Crvena Zvezda	85:77
Serbian Korac Cup
15.02.25	Crvena Zvezda - Partizan Belgrade	89:83 OT
Euroleague
31.01.25	Partizan Belgrade - Crvena Zvezda	71:73

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