Match Info

Euroleague - Round 27

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Adidas Arena (Paris)

Referee: Lezcano L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Ruutu+, Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Paris		Fenerbahçe

	1	2
	2.82	1.42	Watch
	2.8	1.44
	2.65	1.51
	2.75	1.5
	2.63	1.44
	2.89	1.45	Watch
	2.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.59)	1.46 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris
34.6%

Fenerbahçe
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	0%	56.2%

Paris - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Paris will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 6 - 46.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +7, OT - Paris (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5, OT - Fenerbahçe (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5 - Fenerbahçe (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris (votes: 8 - 50%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 8 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Ouattara Y.	13. Biberovic T.
4. Cavaliere L.	4. Melli N.
13. Dokossi A.	92. Birch K.
8. Rhoden J.	50. Colson B.
5. Robinson J.	8. Horton-Tucker T.
Substitutes
15. Faye M.	2. Baldwin W.
7. Herrera S.	1. Birsen J.
2. Hifi N.	17. Bitim O.
22. M'Baye A.	11. Boston B.
20. Morgan J.	12. De Colo N.
9. Stevens L.	18. Jantunen M.
35. Willis D.
Coaches
. Tabellini F.	. Jasikevicius S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris won 0.

Paris has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fenerbahçe is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fenerbahçe is a strong favorite.

We predict that Fenerbahçe will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Paris won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 498:554. (average 83:92.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Paris won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 171:185. (average 85.5:92.5).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Fenerbahce: 10.67% Paris: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
4	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	328:302
17	Paris	4	1	3	329:359

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Basketball
Euroleague
03.02.26	Bayern München - Paris	81:75 ✺
French LNB
01.02.26	Paris - Boulazac	87:103 ✺
Euroleague
27.01.26	Paris - Real Madrid	98:92 ✺
French LNB
24.01.26	Le Portel - Paris	57:120 ✺
Euroleague
22.01.26	Paris - Dubai	79:99 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWL
- Fenerbahçe Basketball
Euroleague
03.02.26	Barcelona - Fenerbahçe	78:82 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
31.01.26	Karşıyaka - Fenerbahçe	55:91 ✺
Euroleague
29.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	79:62 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
25.01.26	Petkim Spor - Fenerbahçe	70:78 ✺
Euroleague
23.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Baskonia	84:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
01.10.25	Fenerbahçe - Paris	96:77
29.04.25	Paris - Fenerbahçe	88:98 OT
24.04.25	Fenerbahçe - Paris	89:72
22.04.25	Fenerbahçe - Paris	83:78
25.03.25	Fenerbahçe - Paris	101:100
03.03.25	Paris - Fenerbahçe	83:87

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