Match Info

Euroleague - Round 25

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Adidas Arena (Paris)

Referee: Panther A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	L'Equipe, SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Israel	Sport 5
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Paris		Real Madrid

	1	2
	3.75	1.26	Watch
	3.25	1.35
	3.7	1.28	Watch
	3.39	1.32
	3.38	1.36	Watch
	3.3	1.29
	3.45	1.34	Watch
	3.5	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.36)	1.32 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris
27.5%

Real Madrid
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

71.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Paris - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Paris will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 172.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +6.5, OT - Paris (2.02) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Real Madrid (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:93

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Cavaliere L.	6. Abalde A.
13. Dokossi A.	11. Hezonja M.
8. Rhoden J.	8. Okeke C.
24. Ouattara Y.	22. Tavares E.
5. Robinson J.	7. Campazzo F.
Substitutes
15. Faye M.	14. Deck G.
7. Herrera S.	24. Feliz A.
2. Hifi N.	16. Garuba U.
22. M'Baye A.	1. Kramer D.
20. Morgan J.	25. Len A.
18. Shahrvin E.	23. Llull S.
9. Stevens L.	0. Lyles T.
Coaches
. Tabellini F.	. Scariolo S.

Preview

Paris has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Madrid is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Real Madrid has had a series of home games.

In this match, Real Madrid is considered a favorite.

We predict that Real Madrid will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paris won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 360:369. (average 90:92.3).

Including home match between the teams, Paris won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 85:96.

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Real Madrid: 8.19% Paris: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
15	Real Madrid	4	1	3	345:350
17	Paris	4	1	3	329:359

Last Results with these Odds

Paris - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 28.69%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Real Madrid - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 71.31%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Basketball
French LNB
24.01.26	Le Portel - Paris	57:120 ✺
Euroleague
22.01.26	Paris - Dubai	79:99 ✺
20.01.26	Valencia - Paris	98:84 ✺
French LNB
18.01.26	Paris - Le Mans	110:92 ✺
Euroleague
15.01.26	Paris - AS Monaco Basket	87:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLWL
- Real Madrid basketball
Spanish ACB League
24.01.26	CB Breogán - Real Madrid	85:103 ✺
Euroleague
22.01.26	Real Madrid - AS Monaco Basket	90:78 ✺
20.01.26	Real Madrid - Olimpia Milano	106:77 ✺
Spanish ACB League
18.01.26	Real Madrid - Valencia	94:79 ✺
Euroleague
16.01.26	Real Madrid - Barcelona	80:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
18.12.25	Real Madrid - Paris	95:90
15.04.25	Real Madrid - Paris	73:81
03.04.25	Real Madrid - Paris	105:104
17.12.24	Paris - Real Madrid	85:96

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