Match Info

Euroleague - Round 4

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Movistar Arena (Madrid)

Referee: Kowalski M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Xsports
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Finland	Ruutu+
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Spain	Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Turkey	S Sport 2
World	EuroLeague TV


	Real Madrid		Partizan Belgrade

	1	2
	1.17	4.5	Watch
	1.22	4.33
	1.22	4.3
	1.26	4.07
	1.21	4.9	Watch
	1.24	4
	1.25	4.23	Watch
	1.22	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 (1.22)	4.33 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
78%

Partizan Belgrade
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.5%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Partizan Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Real Madrid - Partizan Belgrade Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -8.5, OT - Real Madrid (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +9.5, OT - Partizan (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

Games O/U 176.5 - over (1.91) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Madrid (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Partizan (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Abalde A.	5. Thompson E.
8. Okeke C.	10. Tanaskovic N.
22. Tavares E.	13. Hayes K.
1. Smith N.	66. Pajola A.
12. Maledon T.	1. Jones C.
Substitutes
7. Campazzo F.	0. Allman K.
24. Feliz A.	23. Jekiri T.
20. Jantunen M.	19. Lakic A.
30. Jones D.	77. Lauvergne J.
3. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.	7. Nakic M.
4. Pradilla J.	95. Sy B.
9. Procida G.	3. Vildoza L.
Coaches
. Martinez Sanchez P.	. Penarroya J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 5.

In recent outings, Real Madrid has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Partizan is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Partizan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Real Madrid has faced a series of away games on the road.

Real Madrid carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Partizan in today's match, at odds of 4.41.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1320:1243 (averaging 88:82.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Madrid against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 727:679 goals (averaging 90.9:84.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L
14	Real Madrid	4	1	3	345:350

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.22 are the expected chance of winning is 77.49%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid basketball
Spanish ACB League
04.10.26	Obradoiro CAB - Real Madrid	107:114 AET ✺
Euroleague
01.10.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Real Madrid	102:98 ✺
29.09.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Real Madrid	94:84 ✺
Spanish ACB League
27.09.26	Real Madrid - Unicaja Malaga	89:87 ✺
Euroleague
24.09.26	Dubai - Real Madrid	78:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL
- Partizan Belgrade Basketball
Adriatic League
05.10.26	Partizan Belgrade - Mega Basket	83:59 ✺
Euroleague
02.10.26	Bayern München - Partizan Belgrade	84:86 ✺
29.09.26	Paris - Partizan Belgrade	79:92 ✺
25.09.26	Partizan Belgrade - Olimpia Milano	92:76 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
19.09.26	Partizan Belgrade - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	101:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
13.02.26	Partizan Belgrade - Real Madrid	73:77
15.10.25	Real Madrid - Partizan Belgrade	93:86
10.04.25	Partizan Belgrade - Real Madrid	89:91
10.10.24	Real Madrid - Partizan Belgrade	93:86
21.03.24	Partizan Belgrade - Real Madrid	76:88
21.12.23	Real Madrid - Partizan Belgrade	91:75
10.05.23	Real Madrid - Partizan Belgrade	98:94

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