Match Info

NBB

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Ginasio do Sesi (Pato Branco)


	Pato		Mogi

	1	2
	2.7	1.42
	2.55	1.42
	2.75	1.5
	2.4	1.49	Watch
	2.6	1.47
	2.56	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.48)	1.46 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 147.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pato
36%

Mogi
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Mogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pato than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mogi than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mogi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pato - Mogi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Batista G.	50. Andre D.
24. de Souza M.	7. Barbosa A.
11. Edu Marilia	11. Hinkle C.
4. Nakazawa L.	13. Paulo
71. Penteado D.	4. Ruivo F.
Substitutes
3. Euler C.	5. Caldeira
41. Fidelis J.	6. Chagas V.
17. Gomes N.	2. Gabriel
77. Horton R.	31. Maicon
10. Mateus	28. Pacheco R.
5. Thompson T.	32. Vitoriano
34. Zonzini W.
Coaches
. Gitiony R.	. Penna F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pato won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mogi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mogi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pato won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 762:776. (average 76.2:77.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Pato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 342:311. (average 85.5:77.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pato Basquete
Brazilian NBB
07.03.26	Pato - Corinthians Paulista	79:89 ✺
21.02.26	Unifacisa - Pato	82:67 ✺
18.02.26	Basquete Cearense - Pato	64:59 ✺
12.02.26	Pato - Botafogo	93:67 ✺
04.02.26	Pato - Flamengo	84:53 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LLLWW
- Mogi das Cruzes Basquete
Brazilian NBB
09.03.26	Caxias do Sul - Mogi	67:72 ✺
05.03.26	Mogi - Pinheiros	73:80 ✺
22.02.26	Mogi - São José dos Campos	78:68 ✺
18.02.26	Corinthians Paulista - Mogi	82:75 ✺
16.02.26	Mogi - Cruzeiro	69:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
17.11.25	Mogi - Pato	86:58
16.04.25	Mogi - Pato	90:76
21.12.24	Pato - Mogi	90:106
25.03.24	Pato - Mogi	100:73
08.11.23	Mogi - Pato	70:87
11.03.22	Pato - Mogi	79:70
10.01.22	Mogi - Pato	68:72

Pato - Mogi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide