Match Info

NBB

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Ginasio do Sesi (Pato Branco)

Referee: Oliveira F. (Bra)


	Pato		Corinthians Paulista

	1	2
	3.25	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.15	1.28
	3.45	1.32
	3.13	1.32	Watch
	3.2	1.33
	3.15	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.88)	1.31 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pato
28.9%

Corinthians Paulista
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Corinthians Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pato than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians Paulista than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corinthians Paulista, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pato - Corinthians Paulista Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pato (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:83

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. de Souza M.	23. Caue L.
11. Edu Marilia	15. Clark E.
41. Fidelis J.	14. Munford R.
4. Nakazawa L.	0. Thomas D.
71. Penteado D.	10. Victao
Substitutes
37. Batista G.	4. Borges C.
3. Euler C.	1. Faria T.
17. Gomes N.	17. Gabriel Novaes
77. Horton R.	9. Jamelao
10. Mateus	8. Pereira K.
5. Thompson T.	11. Raymundo K.
34. Zonzini W.
Coaches
. Gitiony R.	. Leite J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pato won 2.

Recent performances by Pato have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Corinthians Paulista is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Corinthians Paulista may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Corinthians Paulista is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Pato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1144:1289. (average 76.3:85.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Pato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 521:598. (average 74.4:85.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pato Basquete
Brazilian NBB
21.02.26	Unifacisa - Pato	82:67 ✺
18.02.26	Basquete Cearense - Pato	64:59 ✺
12.02.26	Pato - Botafogo	93:67 ✺
04.02.26	Pato - Flamengo	84:53 ✺
02.02.26	Pato - Vasco da Gama	75:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LLWWL
- Corinthians Paulista Basketball
Brazilian NBB
20.02.26	São José dos Campos - Corinthians Paulista	95:103 ✺
18.02.26	Corinthians Paulista - Mogi	82:75 ✺
09.02.26	Corinthians Paulista - Unifacisa	81:75 ✺
07.02.26	Corinthians Paulista - Basquete Cearense	96:76 ✺
Brazilian Super 8 Basketball
25.01.26	Minas - Corinthians Paulista	87:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
19.11.25	Corinthians Paulista - Pato	87:68
29.12.24	Pato - Corinthians Paulista	76:85
14.10.24	Corinthians Paulista - Pato	86:89
28.03.24	Pato - Corinthians Paulista	100:87
16.12.23	Corinthians Paulista - Pato	85:81
15.02.23	Corinthians Paulista - Pato	102:78
18.11.22	Pato - Corinthians Paulista	68:96

Upcoming Matches