Match Info

NBB

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ginasio do Sesi (Pato Branco) 🌤️ ...


	Pato		Vasco da Gama

	1	2
	1.56	2.3	Watch
	1.5	2.3	Watch
	1.51	2.54
	1.53	2.33	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	1.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.54)	2.41 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pato
61.4%

Vasco da Gama
38.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pato than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Pato - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Pato will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:73

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. de Souza M.	10. Basilio G.
11. Edu Marilia	3. Bearden L.
41. Fidelis J.	24. Conceicao S.
71. Penteado D.	19. Magna G.
5. Thompson T.	2. Morgan L.
Substitutes
37. Batista G.	27. Elias Oliveira
3. Euler C.	7. Fortunato J.
17. Gomes N.	23. Honorato I.
77. Horton R.	30. Martins I.
10. Mateus	12. Mathias T.
4. Nakazawa L.	11. Nunes P.
34. Zonzini W.	4. Vernizz A.
Coaches
. Gitiony R.	. dos Santos C.

Preview

Pato is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vasco has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pato is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 361:394. (average 72.2:78.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 143:160. (average 71.5:80).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
15	Pato	4	1	3	296:330	0.250

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pato Basquete
Brazilian NBB
21.01.26	Minas - Pato	75:67 ✺
19.01.26	Cruzeiro - Pato	89:81 ✺
12.01.26	Pato - União Corinthians	72:80 ✺
09.01.26	Pato - Caxias do Sul	85:91 OT ✺
29.12.25	Pato - Pinheiros	67:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Vasco da Gama Basketball
Brazilian NBB
20.01.26	Vasco da Gama - Mogi	60:67 ✺
17.01.26	Vasco da Gama - Corinthians Paulista	67:75 ✺
13.01.26	Basquete Cearense - Vasco da Gama	73:78 ✺
10.01.26	Unifacisa - Vasco da Gama	78:75 ✺
27.12.25	Vasco da Gama - Flamengo	80:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
04.11.25	Vasco da Gama - Pato	65:70
14.02.25	Vasco da Gama - Pato	98:86
12.11.24	Pato - Vasco da Gama	76:84
15.01.24	Pato - Vasco da Gama	67:76
26.10.23	Vasco da Gama - Pato	71:62

Pato - Vasco da Gama