Match Info

Liga A

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Polideportivo Islas Malvinas (Mar del Plata)


	Peñarol de Mar del Plata		San Lorenzo de Almagro

	1	2
	1.17	4.5
	1.16	4.7
	1.18	4.58
	1.21	3.92	Watch
	1.22	3.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.3)	4.32 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Mar del Plata
78.4%

San Lorenzo de Almagro
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peñarol de Mar del Plata's performance.

San Lorenzo de Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo de Almagro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peñarol de Mar del Plata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo de Almagro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Lorenzo de Almagro Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Peñarol (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:76

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Basualdo I.	18. Bednarek I.
73. Carreras X.	13. Cerminato L.
4. Guerra L.	4. Perez L.
18. Perez A.	19. Rodriguez C.
1. Thornton A.	15. Safar S.
Substitutes
35. Acuna R.	1. Actis J.
22. Armand S.	3. Alonso A.
15. Chiaraviglio N.	11. Barrios L.
13. Cordoba G.	17. Cardo C.
33. Rossi G.	9. Hernandez K.
2. Tolosa F.	5. Nesci V.
9. Vazquez F.	21. Tallade S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 2.

Recent performances by Peñarol have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

San Lorenzo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Peñarol is a strong favorite.

We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1550:1682. (average 77.5:84.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 770:851. (average 77:85.1).

Outrights of Argentinian LNB for now

San Lorenzo: 2.83% Penarol: 2.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
3	San Lorenzo	1	1	0	89:73	1.000
6	Penarol	1	1	0	62:57	1.000

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Mar del Plata
Argentinian LNB
12.03.26	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Racing de Chivilcoy	92:64 ✺
07.03.26	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Atlético Platense	79:72 ✺
21.02.26	Regatas Corrientes - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	67:86 ✺
19.02.26	San Martín de Corrientes - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	88:84 ✺
15.02.26	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Argentino	69:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLL
- San Lorenzo de Almagro Basketball
Argentinian LNB
08.03.26	San Martín de Corrientes - San Lorenzo de Almagro	77:72 ✺
06.03.26	Regatas Corrientes - San Lorenzo de Almagro	69:89 ✺
23.02.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - San Lorenzo de Almagro	90:77 ✺
21.02.26	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Instituto Córdoba	67:86 ✺
19.02.26	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Quimsa	82:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
26.09.25	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	82:74
05.04.25	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	76:63
09.01.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Lorenzo de Almagro	80:77
22.04.24	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Lorenzo de Almagro	80:75
15.11.23	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	88:65
17.01.23	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	75:99
20.10.22	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Lorenzo de Almagro	79:70

Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Lorenzo de Almagro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide