Match Info

Liga Uruguaya - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Palacio Penarol (Montevideo)


	Peñarol de Montevideo		Defensor Sporting

	1	2
			Watch
	1.08	5.4
	1.06	6.94
	1.08	6.24	Watch
	1.06	5.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↑ (1.06)	6.08 ↓ (6.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
85%

Defensor Sporting
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.7%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:73

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Cole N.	43. Colmenares N.
8. Pomoli N.	00. Metzger T.
42. Rojas M.	15. Terra F.
10. Serres E. (C)	3. Weaver E.
25. Vescovi S.	13. Zubiaurre M.
Substitutes
22. Bavosi F.	9. Antunes M.
35. Calimares S.	45. Bianchi M.
21. Heilmann C.	27. De Leon F.
23. Hogan S.	11. Gomez B.
9. Jau	23. MacMullen M.
15. Lema N.	1. Rudd V.
19. Quinones L.	77. Soto F. (C)
Coaches
. Garcia L.	. Brea G.

Preview

Penarol (Uruguay) leads series 2-0. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.

Peñarol has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Defensor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Peñarol is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1658:1513. (average 82.9:75.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 922:811. (average 83.8:73.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo Basketball
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
22.05.26	Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo	61:81 ✺
19.05.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	101:51 ✺
11.05.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Urunday Universitario	87:64 ✺
08.05.26	Urunday Universitario - Peñarol de Montevideo	86:109 ✺
05.05.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Urunday Universitario	89:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- BC Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
22.05.26	Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo	61:81 ✺
19.05.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	101:51 ✺
15.05.26	Defensor Sporting - Malvín	85:78 ✺
12.05.26	Malvín - Defensor Sporting	83:81 ✺
09.05.26	Defensor Sporting - Malvín	80:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Liga Basketball
22.05.26	Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo	61:81
19.05.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	101:51
11.04.26	Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo	92:84 OT
12.03.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	88:80
04.02.26	Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo	81:84
20.11.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	85:72
24.04.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	78:84

Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide