Match Info

Liga Uruguaya - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: Palacio Penarol (Montevideo)


	Peñarol de Montevideo		Urunday Universitario

	1	2
			Watch
	1.06	6
	1.04	8.04
	1.05	7.58	Watch
	1.05	8.5
	1.02	8.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.08)	7.72 ↑ (5.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
88.1%

Urunday Universitario
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.6%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Urunday Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Peñarol de Montevideo - Urunday Universitario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Cole N.	99. Benitez M.
20. Ibarguen A.	23. Daniels T.
8. Pomoli N.	7. Massa S.
10. Serres E. (C)	5. Rickards R.
25. Vescovi S.	6. Sarni M. (C)
Substitutes
22. Bavosi F.	15. Amichetti N.
35. Calimares S.	2. Bessio N.
52. Delgado J.	8. Curadossi B.
21. Heilmann C.	45. Madsen M.
23. Hogan S.	20. Moller A.
15. Lema N.	11. Rodriguez M.
42. Rojas M.	14. Sacco J.
Coaches
. Garcia L.	. Gonzalez M.

Preview

Penarol (Uruguay) leads series 2-0. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 5.

Peñarol has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Urunday's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Peñarol is the clear favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1067:918. (average 88.9:76.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 523:425. (average 87.2:70.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo Basketball
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
08.05.26	Urunday Universitario - Peñarol de Montevideo	86:109 ✺
05.05.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Urunday Universitario	89:67 ✺
02.05.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Hebraica y Macabi	74:62 ✺
28.04.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Malvín	96:68 ✺
22.04.26	Nacional - Peñarol de Montevideo	82:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW
- Urunday Universitario
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
08.05.26	Urunday Universitario - Peñarol de Montevideo	86:109 ✺
05.05.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Urunday Universitario	89:67 ✺
31.03.26	Welcome - Urunday Universitario	Canceled ✺
26.03.26	Biguá - Urunday Universitario	Canceled ✺
23.03.26	Urunday Universitario - Goes	88:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LL??W

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Liga Basketball
08.05.26	Urunday Universitario - Peñarol de Montevideo	86:109
05.05.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Urunday Universitario	89:67
19.02.26	Urunday Universitario - Peñarol de Montevideo	83:100
04.12.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Urunday Universitario	85:58
03.02.25	Urunday Universitario - Peñarol de Montevideo	80:83
02.12.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Urunday Universitario	94:67
03.03.23	Urunday Universitario - Peñarol de Montevideo	81:87

Peñarol de Montevideo - Urunday Universitario: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide