Match Info

NKL - Winners stage

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Vilkaviškis District School of Sports (Vilkaviskis)


	Perlas Vilkaviškis		Mažeikiai

	1	2
	1.4	2.55	Watch
	1.4	2.74
	1.45	2.51	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.43	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)	2.58 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perlas Vilkaviškis
64.5%

Mažeikiai
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perlas Vilkaviškis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perlas Vilkaviškis than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Perlas Vilkaviškis - Mažeikiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Bancevicius A.	1. Mokseckas G. (C)
21. Gadsden Jr T.	12. Motuzas M.
5. Pazarauskas T. (C)	14. Narusevicius E.
23. Saterfield J. T.	3. Neal N.
50. Skucas Z.	4. Young C. K.
Substitutes
3. Ciuplys T.	13. Karasov P.
7. Hopenas A.	5. Marquett Epps D.
35. Kucinskas G.	31. Rimsa T.
33. Quillan G.	8. Rubinas D.
34. Stankevicius G.	7. Stropus J.
19. Zukauskas M.
Coaches
. Zablockis S.	. Kiltinavicius M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perlas Vilkaviškis won 1.

In recent matches, Perlas Vilkaviškis has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mažeikiai is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Perlas Vilkaviškis might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Perlas Vilkaviškis won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1059:1088. (average 88.3:90.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Perlas Vilkaviškis won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 528:521. (average 88:86.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
7	Vilkaviskis	3	2	1	272:248	2
13	Mazeikiai	3	1	2	217:241	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perlas Vilkaviškis
Lietuvos NKL
26.02.26	Rytas 2 - Perlas Vilkaviškis	87:74 ✺
19.02.26	Kėdainiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	80:69 ✺
07.02.26	Alytaus Alytus - Perlas Vilkaviškis	75:90 ✺
05.02.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Kėdainiai	77:66 ✺
29.01.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Vilniaus Stekas	78:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWW
- BC Mažeikiai
Lietuvos NKL
26.02.26	Mažeikiai - Kėdainiai	86:79 ✺
19.02.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Mažeikiai	102:74 ✺
07.02.26	Mažeikiai - Šilutė	102:83 ✺
03.02.26	Plunges Olimpas - Mažeikiai	79:86 ✺
31.01.26	Mažeikiai - Jurbarkas-Karys	84:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
18.12.25	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Mažeikiai	59:79
16.10.25	Mažeikiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	91:85
01.12.22	Mažeikiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	82:64
13.10.22	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Mažeikiai	83:76
26.03.22	Mažeikiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	77:75
23.03.22	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Mažeikiai	85:93
20.03.22	Mažeikiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	124:113 OT (86:86)

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