Match Info
NBADate: 6 March 2026, FridayLocation: Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix, AZ)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | NBA Global League Pass |
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Phoenix Suns |
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New Orleans Pelicans |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 227.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Phoenix Suns
61.7% | New Orleans Pelicans
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phoenix Suns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Phoenix Suns's form might have worsened.New Orleans Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New Orleans Pelicans's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Suns than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Orleans Pelicans than the current prediction. (+2%)Phoenix Suns - New Orleans Pelicans Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Phoenix will win (votes: 4 - 50%). New Orleans will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Phoenix: 15.4% – 84.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Phoenix (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +5.5, OT - New Orleans (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -3.5, OT - Phoenix (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Phoenix (votes: 3 - 75%). New Orleans (votes: 1 - 25%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 116:112 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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4.  Green J.
| 41. Bey S.
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00. O'Neale R.
| 1. Williamson Z.
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11. Ighodaro O.
| 2. Jones H.
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1. Booker D.
| 25. Murphy T.
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12. Gillespie C.
| 5. Murray D.
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| Coaches |
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. Ott J.
| . Borrego J.
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Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 4.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.New Orleans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Phoenix has had a series of home games.Recently, New Orleans has had a series of away games. In this match, Phoenix is a strong favorite.There will not play in Phoenix: Brooks D.
(Broken Hand)
Goodwin J.
(Calf Injury)
Williams M.
(Foot Injury)There will not play in New Orleans: Murray D.
(Lacking Match Fitness)There are questionable in New Orleans: Murphy T.
(Neck Injury)
Williamson Z.
(Ankle Injury)In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 2300:2234. (average 115:111.7).Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1045:989. (average 116.1:109.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Phoenix Suns - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 67.05%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NBA | | | 27.12.25 | New Orleans Pelicans - Phoenix Suns | 114:123 | | 26.12.25 | New Orleans Pelicans - Phoenix Suns | 108:115 | | 10.11.25 | Phoenix Suns - New Orleans Pelicans | 121:98 | | 28.02.25 | Phoenix Suns - New Orleans Pelicans | 125:108 | | 27.02.25 | Phoenix Suns - New Orleans Pelicans | 116:124 | | 05.12.24 | New Orleans Pelicans - Phoenix Suns | 126:124 | | 07.04.24 | Phoenix Suns - New Orleans Pelicans | 105:113 |
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