The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pioneros de Los Mochis 40.7%
Frayles de Guasave 59.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
57.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.6%
50.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pioneros de Los Mochis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Frayles de Guasave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pioneros de Los Mochis than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pioneros de Los Mochis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frayles de Guasave than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frayles de Guasave, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pioneros de Los Mochis - Frayles de Guasave Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:98
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
10. Anderson A.
3. Brito O.
6. Evans J.
55. Hodge D.
7. Griffin E.
9. Jones J. (C)
11. Moultrie A.
2. Nelson S.
0. Wilson-Frame J. (C)
4. Pal J.
Substitutes
44. Alexander Q.
8. Jimenez R.
55. Allen J.
12. McDavid N.
23. Butler M.
45. Monyyong R.
15. Juarez R.
0. Phipps T.
14. Martinez I.
18. Tona A.
4. Rojo M.
2. Stone J.
Coaches
. Garcia J.
. Jamil A.
Preview
Frayles de Guasave leads series 3-1. Fifth leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pioneros won 1.
Recent form of Pioneros has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Guasave has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Guasave will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Pioneros won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1488:1446. (average 93:90.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Pioneros won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 755:694. (average 94.4:86.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Pioneros de Los Mochis - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.09%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.