Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A2 - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 15 May 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: PalaCarrara (Pistoia) 🌤️ ...


	Pistoia Basket		Assigeco Piacenza

	1	2
	1.25	3.5
	1.28	3.73
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.27	3.62	Watch
	1.22	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.4)	3.65 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoia Basket
74.4%

Assigeco Piacenza
25.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoia Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pistoia Basket's performance.

Assigeco Piacenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Assigeco Piacenza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoia Basket than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pistoia Basket that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Assigeco Piacenza than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Assigeco Piacenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pistoia Basket - Assigeco Piacenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:73

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Preview

2nd leg. Pistoia leads series 1-0.

Recent matches Pistoia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Assigeco Piacenza is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Pistoia is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pistoia won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 410-356.

Including matches at home between the teams Pistoia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 256-210.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pistoia Basket 2000
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
13.05.23	Pistoia Basket - Assigeco Piacenza	88:77 ✺
07.05.23	Basket Treviglio - Pistoia Basket	104:65 ✺
30.04.23	Pistoia Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	73:68 ✺
23.04.23	Cantù - Pistoia Basket	68:70 ✺
16.04.23	Pistoia Basket - Basket Treviglio	61:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWL
- UCC Assigeco Piacenza
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
13.05.23	Pistoia Basket - Assigeco Piacenza	88:77 ✺
07.05.23	Assigeco Piacenza - Cividale	80:84 OT ✺
30.04.23	Fortitudo Bologna - Assigeco Piacenza	76:84 OT ✺
23.04.23	Assigeco Piacenza - Udine	81:88 ✺
15.04.23	Cividale - Assigeco Piacenza	78:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
13.05.23	Pistoia Basket - Assigeco Piacenza	88:77
05.02.22	Assigeco Piacenza - Pistoia Basket	63:64
31.10.21	Pistoia Basket - Assigeco Piacenza	78:50
09.05.21	Pistoia Basket - Assigeco Piacenza	90:83
25.04.21	Assigeco Piacenza - Pistoia Basket	83:90

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pistoia Basket 2000
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
01.11.26	Pistoia Basket - Fortitudo Bologna	✺

Pistoia Basket - Assigeco Piacenza