Match Info

Lega A - Round 29

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: PalaCarrara (Pistoia)

Referee: Bartolomeo A. (Ita)


	Pistoia Basket		Vanoli-Braga Cremona

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.24	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.74
	2.24	1.64	Watch
	2.12	1.75
	2.27	1.64	Watch
	2.24	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.12)	1.68 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoia Basket
43.4%

Vanoli-Braga Cremona
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoia Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Vanoli-Braga Cremona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoia Basket than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanoli-Braga Cremona than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Pistoia Basket - Vanoli Braga Cremona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Saccaggi L.	3. Jones T.
0. Benetti G.	11. Nikolic S.
10. Cooke Jr. D.	41. Owens T.
33. Allen K.	2. Willis P.
11. Forrest M.	5. Davis C.
Substitutes
12. Boglio A.	23. Burns C.
4. Ceron M.	0. Christon S.
14. Chiti J.	1. De Martin M.
2. Della Rosa G.	16. Fantoma N.
5. Paschall E.	15. Ivanovskis E.
6. Santi L.	34. Omenaka G.
70. Valerio-Bodon V.	9. Zampini F.
Coaches
. Okorn G.	. Brotto P.

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pistoia won 4.

Pistoia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cremona's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pistoia won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1314:1359. (average 73:75.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pistoia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 647:635. (average 71.9:70.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pistoia Basket 2000
Italian Lega A Basketball
27.04.25	Venezia - Pistoia Basket	90:93 ✺
19.04.25	Pistoia Basket - Virtus Bologna	62:86 ✺
13.04.25	Olimpia Milano - Pistoia Basket	95:80 ✺
06.04.25	Pistoia Basket - Dinamo Sassari	63:86 ✺
30.03.25	Pistoia Basket - Trieste	69:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WLLLL
- Vanoli-Braga Cremona
Italian Lega A Basketball
28.04.25	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Trieste	81:101 ✺
18.04.25	Olimpia Milano - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	118:83 ✺
13.04.25	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Basket Trento	86:89 ✺
06.04.25	Varese - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	85:87 OT ✺
30.03.25	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Treviso Basket	94:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
13.10.24	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Pistoia Basket	65:66
10.03.24	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Pistoia Basket	67:74
07.01.24	Pistoia Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	64:60
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
30.04.23	Pistoia Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	73:68
08.04.23	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Pistoia Basket	85:80
Italian Lega A Basketball
15.12.19	Pistoia Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	84:71
10.03.19	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Pistoia Basket	90:80

Pistoia Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide