Match Info

ITALY: Lega A - Round 18

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: PalaCarrara (Pistoia)

Referee: Bartolomeo A. (Ita)


	Pistoia Basket		Treviso Basket

	1	2
			Watch
	1.98	1.78
	1.95	1.87
	1.9	1.9
	1.96	1.86	Watch
	2	1.84
	1.98	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.22)	1.85 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoia Basket
48.6%

Treviso Basket
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoia Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pistoia Basket's performance.

Treviso Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Treviso Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoia Basket than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pistoia Basket that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treviso Basket than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Treviso Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pistoia Basket - Treviso Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pistoia will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Cooke Jr. D.	31. Olisevicius O.
9. Kemp M.	25. Caroline J.
11. Forrest M.	33. Paulicap P.
8. Rowan M.	14. Mascolo B.
00. Christon S.	0. Bowman K.
Substitutes
3. Anumba M.	7. Harrison D.
0. Benetti G.	55. Macura J. P.
12. Boglio A.	15. Martin F.
2. Della Rosa G.	22. Mazzola V.
6. Novori A.	24. Mezzanotte A.
15. Saccaggi L.	29. Pellegrino F.
25. Silins K.	9. Torresani D.
Coaches
. Okorn G.	. Vitucci F.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Pistoia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pistoia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 407:434 (average 81.4:86.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Pistoia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 158:170 (average 79:85).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pistoia Basket 2000
Italian Lega A Basketball
25.01.25	Trapani - Pistoia Basket	104:60 ✺
19.01.25	Pistoia Basket - Varese	111:96 ✺
12.01.25	Trieste - Pistoia Basket	80:75 ✺
05.01.25	Pistoia Basket - Olimpia Milano	82:115 ✺
29.12.24	Basket Brescia - Pistoia Basket	90:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLL
- Treviso Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
25.01.25	Treviso Basket - Napoli Basket	78:90 ✺
18.01.25	Basket Trento - Treviso Basket	101:86 ✺
12.01.25	Varese - Treviso Basket	92:89 ✺
04.01.25	Treviso Basket - Basket Brescia	86:84 ✺
29.12.24	Treviso Basket - Olimpia Milano	79:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
30.11.24	Treviso Basket - Pistoia Basket	91:88
23.03.24	Pistoia Basket - Treviso Basket	83:84
30.12.23	Treviso Basket - Pistoia Basket	86:89
26.01.20	Pistoia Basket - Treviso Basket	75:86
06.10.19	Treviso Basket - Pistoia Basket	87:72

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