Match Info

Lega A - Round 24

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: PalaCarrara (Pistoia)

Referee: Dionisi A. (Ita)


	Pistoia Basket		Trieste

	1	2
			Watch
	3.5	1.28
	3.5	1.3
	3.74	1.27	Watch
	3.6	1.3
	3.66	1.29	Watch
	3.5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.32)	1.29 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoia Basket
26.5%

Trieste
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoia Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Trieste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoia Basket than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Pistoia Basket - Trieste Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Pistoia will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Trieste will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pistoia: 76.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Ceron M.	22. Brown M.
10. Cooke Jr. D.	34. Johnson J.
11. Forrest M.	10. Ruzzier M.
5. Paschall E.	9. Uthoff J.
15. Saccaggi L.	45. Valentine D.
Substitutes
33. Allen K.	23. Brooks J.
0. Benetti G.	12. Campogrande L.
12. Boglio A.	13. Candussi F.
2. Della Rosa G.	8. Deangeli L.
6. Santi L.	30. McDermott S.
14. Stoch F.	0. Obljubech M.
	4. Ross C.
Coaches
. Okorn G.	. Christian J.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Pistoia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Trieste is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Trieste could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Trieste is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pistoia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 389:435 (average 77.8:87).

Including matches at home between the teams Pistoia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 155:162 (average 77.5:81).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pistoia Basket 2000
Italian Lega A Basketball
23.03.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Pistoia Basket	94:68 ✺
16.03.25	Basket Trento - Pistoia Basket	87:64 ✺
09.03.25	Pistoia Basket - Basket Brescia	84:97 ✺
02.03.25	Napoli Basket - Pistoia Basket	70:74 ✺
08.02.25	Pistoia Basket - Scafati	89:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWL
- Pallacanestro Trieste 2004
Italian Lega A Basketball
22.03.25	Trieste - Virtus Bologna	85:78 ✺
15.03.25	Trapani - Trieste	131:88 ✺
09.03.25	Trieste - Scafati	88:75 ✺
02.03.25	Trieste - Treviso Basket	85:73 ✺
Italian Cup Basketball
15.02.25	Basket Trento - Trieste	82:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
12.01.25	Trieste - Pistoia Basket	80:75
07.03.20	Trieste - Pistoia Basket	97:80
03.11.19	Pistoia Basket - Trieste	76:72
03.03.19	Pistoia Basket - Trieste	79:90
04.11.18	Trieste - Pistoia Basket	96:79

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