Match Info

Lega A - Round 28

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Palasport Lino Oldrini (Varese)

Referee: Dionisi A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Varese		Vanoli-Braga Cremona

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.54
	1.42	2.75
	1.41	3.03
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.4	3.05
	1.43	2.92	Watch
	1.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)	2.81 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
66.3%

Vanoli-Braga Cremona
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Vanoli-Braga Cremona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanoli-Braga Cremona than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vanoli-Braga Cremona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Varese - Vanoli Braga Cremona Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Varese will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Cremona will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Alviti D.	0. Anigbogu I.
4. Moore T.	7. Casarin D.
7. N'Guessan E.	12. Galli F.
1. Stewart C.	8. Grant S.
5. Villa M.	2. Willis P.
Substitutes
19. Bergamin M.	21. Battle R.
55. Freeman A.	23. Burns C.
11. Iroegbu I.	33. De Gregori S.
34. Ladurner M.	42. Durham A.
13. Librizzi M.	46. Ndiaye O.
8. Nkamhoua O.	17. Udom M.
15. Renfro N.
Coaches
. Kastritis I.	. Brotto P.

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Varese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Varese will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varese won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1620:1658. (average 81:82.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 799:755. (average 88.8:83.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Varese	3	2	1	239:251	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
19.04.26	Cantù - Varese	100:96 ✺
12.04.26	Varese - Dinamo Sassari	91:90 ✺
04.04.26	Trieste - Varese	90:89 ✺
28.03.26	Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona	97:87 ✺
22.03.26	Napoli Basket - Varese	104:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWL
- Vanoli-Braga Cremona
Italian Lega A Basketball
11.04.26	Reggiana - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	96:78 ✺
04.04.26	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Udine	82:73 ✺
29.03.26	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Napoli Basket	88:81 ✺
22.03.26	Treviso Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	97:94 ✺
15.03.26	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Basket Brescia	78:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
08.12.25	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Varese	79:87
Club Friendly Basketball
13.09.25	Varese - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	83:88
Italian Lega A Basketball
06.04.25	Varese - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	85:87 OT
08.12.24	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Varese	78:60
28.01.24	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Varese	82:83
03.12.23	Varese - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	68:75
Club Friendly Basketball
16.09.23	Varese - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	105:101

Varese - Vanoli-Braga Cremona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide