Match Info

1. Liga - Round 21

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Hala Sportowa Kolo (Warsaw)

Referee: Tomaszewski T. (Pol)


	Polonia Warszawa		Basket Poznań

	1	2
	1.73	1.92	Watch
	1.81	1.93
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.8	1.85
	1.75	1.94
	1.95	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.96)	1.89 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Polonia Warszawa
51.2%

Basket Poznań
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Basket Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warszawa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Polonia Warszawa - Basket Poznań Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:81

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Malesa J. (C)	4. Krajewski A.
5. Osinski J.	7. Nowicki J.
11. Pulkotycki P.	9. Rosinski K.
33. Robinson S.	6. Samsonowicz M. (C)
26. Sulinger J.	15. Washington J.
Substitutes
32. Duda M.	13. Dydak T.
88. Poradzki F.	8. Kluj J.
10. Trzybinski B.	31. Makowski K.
93. Witkowski I.	20. Stankowski P.
13. Zalewski J.	22. Stopierzynski M.
Coaches
. Torrescusa-Jimenez D.	. Valeiko E.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polonia Warszawa won 2.

Polonia Warszawa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Poznań's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Polonia Warszawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Polonia Warszawa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 594:618. (average 74.3:77.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Polonia Warszawa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 223:242. (average 74.3:80.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Polonia Warszawa	3	3	0	285:278	6
6	Poznan	3	2	1	297:272	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warszawa Basketball
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
16.01.26	Polonia Warszawa - Astoria Bydgoszcz	80:88 ✺
10.01.26	Politechnika Opolska - Polonia Warszawa	78:84 ✺
04.01.26	ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Warszawa	84:67 ✺
27.12.25	Polonia Warszawa - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	64:86 ✺
21.12.25	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Polonia Warszawa	87:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLL
- Basket Poznań
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
21.01.26	Basket Poznań - Polonia 1912 Leszno	83:72 ✺
18.01.26	Sokol Lancut - Basket Poznań	90:77 ✺
10.01.26	Basket Poznań - GKS Tychy	82:71 ✺
04.01.26	Basket Poznań - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	63:70 ✺
28.12.25	Miners Katowice - Basket Poznań	78:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
05.10.25	Basket Poznań - Polonia Warszawa	71:82
15.02.25	Basket Poznań - Polonia Warszawa	87:70
09.11.24	Polonia Warszawa - Basket Poznań	79:81
08.03.24	Polonia Warszawa - Basket Poznań	75:102
03.12.23	Basket Poznań - Polonia Warszawa	66:68
25.02.23	Basket Poznań - Polonia Warszawa	86:71
16.11.22	Polonia Warszawa - Basket Poznań	69:59

Upcoming Matches