Match Info

1. Liga - Round 16

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Hala Sportowa Kolo (Warsaw)


	Polonia Warszawa		Kotwica Kołobrzeg

	1	2
	2.15	1.58	Watch
	2.07	1.65	Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.09	1.59
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.86)	1.61 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warszawa
43.2%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polonia Warszawa's form might have worsened.

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kotwica Kołobrzeg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warszawa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polonia Warszawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kotwica Kołobrzeg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Polonia Warszawa - Kotwica Kołobrzeg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia Warszawa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Duda M.	13. Dlugosz S.
0. Malesa J. (C)	12. Dzierzak P. (C)
33. Robinson S.	14. Kurpisz M.
4. Sewiol V.	0. Malgorzaciak F.
26. Sulinger J.	6. Siembiga W.
Substitutes
12. Borowski S.	34. Janczak S.
77. Niemiec A.	7. Lewis J.
88. Poradzki F.	9. Nelson R.
11. Pulkotycki P.
10. Trzybinski B.
93. Witkowski I.
13. Zalewski J.
Coaches
. Torrescusa-Jimenez D.	. Frank R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polonia Warszawa won 3.

Polonia Warszawa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Polonia Warszawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Polonia Warszawa has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Polonia Warszawa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 481:476. (average 80.2:79.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Polonia Warszawa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 245:250. (average 81.7:83.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warszawa Basketball
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
21.12.25	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Polonia Warszawa	87:73 ✺
06.12.25	WKK Wrocław - Polonia Warszawa	86:88 ✺
29.11.25	Polonia Warszawa - Noteć Inowrocław	79:88 ✺
22.11.25	Decka Pelplin - Polonia Warszawa	79:57 ✺
15.11.25	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Polonia Warszawa	83:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL
- SKK Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
20.12.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Polonia 1912 Leszno	67:70 ✺
14.12.25	Sokol Lancut - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	87:78 ✺
06.12.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - GKS Tychy	76:84 ✺
01.12.25	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	96:94 ✺
23.11.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Miners Katowice	81:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
29.03.25	Polonia Warszawa - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	76:74
21.12.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Polonia Warszawa	92:78
17.02.24	Polonia Warszawa - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	95:94 OT
15.11.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Polonia Warszawa	87:72
04.02.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Polonia Warszawa	47:86
29.10.22	Polonia Warszawa - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	74:82

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