Match Info

Super Cup - Final

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Desportivo de Albufeira (Albufeira)


	Porto		Sporting Lisbon

	1	2
	1.40	2.65
	1.40	2.55
	1.35	2.73
	1.5	2.43
	1.34	2.70
	1.43	2.62
	1.47	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.52)	2.61 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Porto
64.9%

Sporting Lisbon
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Porto's performance.

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Lisbon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Porto - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:82

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Allen-Williams C.	6. Amarante F.
9. Bropleh T.	3. Davis-Fleming J.
55. Dundao C.	46. Embalo J.
11. Queiroz M. (C)	11. Kalscheur G.
20. Williams X.	9. Ventura D. (C)
Substitutes
99. Bessa A.	22. Baskin T. J.
6. Carrera Y.	8. Carter B.
8. Delgado G.	31. Conceicao J.
7. Guerreiro J.	12. Cruz A.
15. Omlid T.	13. Fernandes J.
3. Voytso V.	17. Gomes J.
10. Woodard J.	1. Goncalo N.
Coaches
. Sa F.	. Pires B.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 4.

Sporting may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Porto is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Porto has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1663:1592 (averaging 83.2:79.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Porto against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 1112:1037 goals (averaging 85.5:79.8 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto Basketball
Club Friendly Basketball
12.09.26	1° de Agosto - Porto	77:94 ✺
05.09.26	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	84:80 ✺
Portuguese LPB
14.06.26	Porto - Benfica	75:71 ✺
12.06.26	Porto - Benfica	87:63 ✺
09.06.26	Benfica - Porto	98:102 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.8 WWWWW
- Sporting Lisbon Basketball
Club Friendly Basketball
19.09.26	Sporting Lisbon - Braga	97:94 OT ✺
12.09.26	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Sporting Lisbon	79:83 ✺
05.09.26	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	84:80 ✺
Portuguese LPB
31.05.26	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	94:86 ✺
29.05.26	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	86:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
05.09.26	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	84:80
Portuguese LPB
31.05.26	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	94:86
29.05.26	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	86:76
25.05.26	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	88:73
23.05.26	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	70:81
Taca de Portugal Basketball
22.02.26	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	84:86
Portuguese LPB
07.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	76:82

Upcoming Matches