Match Info

FIBA Europe Cup - Round 5

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Pavilhão Dragão Arena (Porto)

Referee: Lucas Martinez R. (Esp)


	Porto		Tartu Rock

	1	2
			Watch
	1.22	3.8
	1.2	4.34
	1.23	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.26)	4.03 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
76.8%

Tartu Rock
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Tartu Rock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Porto - Tartu Rock Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Davis-Fleming J.	9. Lips K.
2. Dunn J.	40. Paasoja M. (C)
5. Riley J.	3. Painter D.
33. Toupane A.	4. Saar H.
3. Voytso V.	2. Valge R.
Substitutes
1. Cardoso M. (C)	8. Bernard M.
6. Carrera Y.	35. Ilver M.
8. Delgado G.	11. Jurtsenko K. G.
7. Guerreiro J.	20. Nurger R.
20. Machado P.	34. Sinnik V.
4. Silva S.
13. Washpun W.
Coaches
. Sa F.	. Kuusmaa A.

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Porto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Porto is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Porto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 78:94.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto Basketball
Portuguese LPB
08.11.25	Porto - Vitória de Guimarães	105:85 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
05.11.25	Antwerp Giants - Porto	81:72 ✺
Portuguese LPB
01.11.25	Imortal - Porto	92:93 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
28.10.25	Porto - Rostock Seawolves	87:75 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
25.10.25	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	88:108 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL
- Tartu Rock
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
08.11.25	Tartu Rock - Keila Basket	90:79 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
05.11.25	Tartu Rock - Rostock Seawolves	77:94 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
01.11.25	Tartu Rock - Pärnu	83:71 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
29.10.25	Antwerp Giants - Tartu Rock	110:73 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
25.10.25	TalTech - Tartu Rock	77:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

FIBA Europe Cup
22.10.25	Tartu Rock - Porto	94:78

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