Match Info

EuroBasket - Round 4

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Italy	DAZN Italia
Portugal	RTP 1, RTP 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
World	Court Side 1891


	Portugal		Latvia

	1	2
	7.5	1.1	Watch
	7.75	1.09
	8.25	1.09	Watch
	6.95	1.12
	9.69	1.03	Watch
	10	1.06
	7.85	1.11
	11.1	1.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.64 ↓ (11.1)	1.08 ↑ (1.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugal
11.1%

Latvia
88.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.6%

91.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Latvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Portugal - Latvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Portugal will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Latvia will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portugal: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Portugal (votes: 2 - 40%). Latvia (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +13.5, OT - Portugal (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 164.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Portugal (votes: 3 - 50%). Latvia (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Brito D. Ourense	8. Bertans Dav. Dubai
11. Queiroz M. (C) FC Porto	47. Kurucs A. Rio Breogan
88. Queta N. Boston Celtics	19. Lomazs R. Bonn
9. Ventura D. Sporting CP	6. Porzingis K. Atlanta Hawks
5. Williams T. CSM Oradea	55. Zagars A. Fenerbahce
Substitutes
6. Amarante F. Oviedo	9. Bertans Dai. (C) VEF Riga
13. Gameiro D. Benfica	18. Cavars K. Sabah Baku
28. Lisboa R.	5. Mejeris M. CSU Cluj Napoca
14. Relvao D. Benfica	11. Smits R. Anadolu Efes
29. Sa C.	28. Steinbergs M. Manresa
25. Sa N. Galomar	66. Zoriks K. Le Portel
2. Voytso V. Estela
Coaches
. Gomes M.	. Banchi L.

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Portugal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Latvia is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Portugal will win today's game, with odds of 9.63.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portugal basketball
EuroBasket
30.08.25	Turkey - Portugal	95:54 ✺
29.08.25	Portugal - Serbia	69:80 ✺
27.08.25	Czech Republic - Portugal	50:62 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
16.08.25	Portugal - Sweden	78:61 ✺
15.08.25	Portugal - Iceland	83:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWWW
- Latvia basketball
EuroBasket
30.08.25	Latvia - Serbia	80:84 ✺
29.08.25	Estonia - Latvia	70:72 ✺
27.08.25	Latvia - Turkey	73:93 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
21.08.25	Italy - Latvia	68:83 ✺
20.08.25	Greece - Latvia	104:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWL

Portugal - Latvia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide