Match Info

Pro B - Round 38

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Halle des Sports Parsemain (Fos-sur-Mer)


	Provence Basket		Chorale Roanne

	1	2
			Watch
	3.1	1.3	Watch
	3.55	1.23	Watch
	3.67	1.26
	3.24	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	3.37	1.29	Watch
	3.55	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provence Basket
27.1%

Chorale Roanne
72.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

73.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provence Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Chorale Roanne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provence Basket than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorale Roanne than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Provence Basket - Chorale Roanne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Bouquet D.	5. Affo Mama D.
85. Cisse J.	19. Cingala-Mata B.
0. Etou J.	3. Gomez T.
31. Eyenga C.	7. Roos M.
35. Wojciechowski M. (C)	0. Smith K.
Substitutes
86. Begarin J.	8. Diot A. (C)
90. Bourhis L.	2. Gauthier H.
9. Galin M.	1. Leopold F.
17. Minar K.	21. Mbala B.
87. Ventura M.	10. Moore Z.
95. Vent V.	9. Tanner S.
Coaches
. Giuitta R.	. Andrieux T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Provence won 2.

Provence is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Roanne has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Roanne is seen as the favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Provence won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1335:1360. (average 74.2:75.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Provence won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 671:623. (average 74.6:69.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fos Ouest Provence Basket
French Elite 2
07.05.25	Saint Chamond - Provence Basket	83:84 ✺
03.05.25	Provence Basket - Poitiers Basket 86	77:78 ✺
25.04.25	Caen - Provence Basket	77:71 ✺
18.04.25	Provence Basket - ALM Évreux Basket	89:92 ✺
12.04.25	Provence Basket - Vichy-Clermont	79:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLLL
- Chorale Roanne Basket
French Elite 2
09.05.25	Chorale Roanne - ASC Denain-Voltaire PH	116:85 ✺
02.05.25	Chorale Roanne - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	88:73 ✺
25.04.25	Boulazac - Chorale Roanne	91:78 ✺
18.04.25	Hyères-Toulon Var Basket - Chorale Roanne	82:87 ✺
11.04.25	Chorale Roanne - Aix Maurienne	82:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Elite 2
11.01.25	Chorale Roanne - Provence Basket	78:73
French LNB
10.02.23	Chorale Roanne - Provence Basket	89:93 OT
26.11.22	Provence Basket - Chorale Roanne	83:87 OT (78:78)
10.05.22	Provence Basket - Chorale Roanne	98:84
14.01.22	Chorale Roanne - Provence Basket	101:76
French Cup Basketball
13.10.20	Provence Basket - Chorale Roanne	Roanne awarded
French Elite 2
14.06.18	Provence Basket - Chorale Roanne	76:70

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