Match Info

FRANCE: LNB - ROUND 13

Date: 16 December 2022, Friday

Location: Halle des Sports Parsemain (Fos-sur-Mer)


	Provence Basket		Nancy

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.9	1.85
	1.95	1.85
	1.91	1.83
	2.05	1.82
	2.06	1.8
	2.04	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.85)	1.83 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provence Basket
48.2%

Nancy
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provence Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provence Basket than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	0%	88%

Provence Basket - Nancy Predictions

Users Predictions: Nancy will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:82

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Provence won 2.

Provence is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nancy is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Provence could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Provence won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 581-568.

Including matches at home between the teams Provence won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 371-369.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fos Ouest Provence Basket
French LNB
09.12.22	Provence Basket - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	83:75 ✺
06.12.22	Cholet Basket - Provence Basket	73:70 ✺
02.12.22	Metropolitans 92 - Provence Basket	96:85 ✺
26.11.22	Provence Basket - Chorale Roanne	83:87 OT (78:78) ✺
French Cup Basketball
23.11.22	Le Portel - Provence Basket	90:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLL
- SLUC Nancy Basket
French LNB
10.12.22	Nancy - ADA Blois	97:75 ✺
03.12.22	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Nancy	89:83 ✺
26.11.22	Nancy - Metropolitans 92	78:92 ✺
French Cup Basketball
23.11.22	Nancy - Nanterre	69:63 ✺
French LNB
18.11.22	Le Portel - Nancy	80:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Elite 2
01.06.21	Provence Basket - Nancy	78:76
09.01.21	Nancy - Provence Basket	76:71
27.12.19	Provence Basket - Nancy	68:69
French Cup Basketball
05.11.19	Provence Basket - Nancy	81:87
French Elite 2
27.05.18	Nancy - Provence Basket	60:73
25.05.18	Provence Basket - Nancy	77:62
03.03.18	Nancy - Provence Basket	63:66

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