Match Info

CHILE: LNB - Play Out - Final

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Gimnasio Municipal Puerto Montt (Puerto Montt)


	Puerto Montt		Español de Talca

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.6	2.13
	1.57	2.3
	1.59	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.98)	2.24 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puerto Montt
58.6%

Español de Talca
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puerto Montt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Puerto Montt's performance.

Español de Talca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Español de Talca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puerto Montt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Español de Talca than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Español de Talca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Puerto Montt - Español de Talca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Cardenas J.	93. Baker R.
42. Donta Wadell N.	24. Bravo F. (C)
6. Gomez S.	10. Chialva S.
14. Torres C. (C)	1. Gomez R.
8. Ulloa N.	21. Serna S.
Substitutes
3. Funk H.	9. Caceres I.
35. Jones J.	12. Davies S.
11. Ojeda C.	54. Diaz M.
9. Ovando J.	11. Foreman D.
12. Rodallega W.	18. Guaico V.
7. Turra Diaz F.
1. Zuhayle A.
Coaches
. Tapia J.	. Gatica P.

Preview

2nd leg. Puerto Montt leads series 1-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Puerto Montt won 2.

Recent matches Puerto Montt is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Español de Talca is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Español de Talca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Español de Talca have a series of guest games.

Puerto Montt will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Puerto Montt won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 704-628.

Including matches at home between the teams Puerto Montt won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 476-401.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CEB Puerto Montt
Chilean LNB
11.05.24	Puerto Montt - Español de Talca	95:74 ✺
05.05.24	Deportivo Valdivia - Puerto Montt	83:68 ✺
04.05.24	Liceo Pablo Neruda - Puerto Montt	79:65 ✺
28.04.24	Puerto Montt - Puente Alto	73:85 ✺
27.04.24	Puerto Montt - Sportiva Italiana	75:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLLW
- CD Español de Talca
Chilean LNB
11.05.24	Puerto Montt - Español de Talca	95:74 ✺
04.05.24	Ancud - Español de Talca	87:82 ✺
03.05.24	Naviera Ulloa Castro - Español de Talca	75:76 OT ✺
27.04.24	Universidad De Concepción - Español de Talca	101:73 ✺
20.04.24	Español de Talca - Las Animas	94:102 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean LNB
11.05.24	Puerto Montt - Español de Talca	95:74
13.04.24	Puerto Montt - Español de Talca	85:87
02.02.24	Español de Talca - Puerto Montt	88:80
02.04.23	Puerto Montt - Español de Talca	114:88
21.01.23	Español de Talca - Puerto Montt	70:69
19.03.22	Español de Talca - Puerto Montt	69:79
15.01.22	Puerto Montt - Español de Talca	95:64

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