The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puerto Varas 80.8%
Universidad Católica 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.9%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.3%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puerto Varas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Puerto Varas's performance.
Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad Católica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puerto Varas than the current prediction. (-25.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puerto Varas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+25.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad Católica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Puerto Varas - Universidad Católica Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Puerto Varas will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Puerto Varas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -5.5, OT - Puerto Varas (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Puerto Varas (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:68
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
8. Arroyo P.
1. Bender S.
12. Davies S.
5. Dlugoszewski J.
11. Ocasio J.
21. Harper T.
5. Perez M.
22. Navarrete S.
6. Villagran C.
10. Salcedo D.
Substitutes
1. Allegrini P.
11. Damianovic Carrasco V.
36. Castro A.
28. Madrigal J.
32. Diez C.
7. Marquez L.
34. Fundora Y.
2. Salas C.
7. Lewis J.
9. Silva S.
14. Ovando J.
88. Perez B.
Preview
CD Puerto Varas leads series 1-0. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Varas won 4.
Recent performances by Puerto Varas have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Uni Católica is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Uni Católica has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
We predict that Puerto Varas will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Puerto Varas won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1100:933. (average 84.6:71.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Varas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 502:390. (average 83.7:65).
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Arroyo P. 
Bender S. 
Madrigal J. 
Diez C. 
Fundora Y. 
