The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puerto Varas 75.8%
Puente Alto 24.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.9%
42.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puerto Varas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Puerto Varas's performance.
Puente Alto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Puente Alto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puerto Varas than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puerto Varas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puente Alto than the current prediction. (+16.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puente Alto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Puerto Varas - Puente Alto Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Puerto Varas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 156.5, OT - under (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -9.5, OT - Puerto Varas (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Puerto Varas (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:74
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Castro A.
15. Ansaldo I.
12. Davies S.
3. Barria O.
34. Fundora Y.
8. Navarro G.
11. Ocasio J.
24. Owens O.
88. Perez B.
14. Pino J.
Substitutes
4. Aguilar E.
9. Carmona V.
1. Allegrini P.
12. I. Araya Ulloa B.
32. Diez C.
5. Lobos I.
17. Miralles I.
7. Munoz R.
14. Ovando J.
90. Perez A.
20. Schwerter V.
88. Urrutia C.
6. Villagran C.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Varas won 4.
Puerto Varas is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Puente Alto shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Puente Alto may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Puente Alto has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Puerto Varas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Puerto Varas has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1299:1212 (averaging 81.2:75.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Puerto Varas against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 647:599 goals (averaging 80.9:74.9 per game).
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Castro A. 
Fundora Y. 
Navarro G. 
Ocasio J. 
Diez C. 
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