Match Info

Korvpalli Meistriliiga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Parnu Spordihall (Parnu)


	Pärnu		Rapla

	1	2
			Watch
	2.85	1.36
	3.05	1.32
	2.97	1.35
	3	1.36
	2.97	1.36
	3.05	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.95)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu
31.1%

Rapla
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Rapla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapla than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pärnu - Rapla Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pärnu will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pärnu will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Aav S.	5. Eelmae H. (C)
31. Douvier B.	1. McCreary J.
21. Shevchenko V.	0. Mckissic B.
22. Suurorg O.	19. Niits T.
20. Valge R.	33. Ruut M.
Substitutes
33. Allik W.	3. Jakk R.
5. Kalbus K.	22. Kajupank I.
6. Malm P.	32. Kilk K.
23. Tamm I. (C)	7. Krumins E.
3. Whitley K.	8. Ruubel M.
	16. Stankovic L.
Coaches
. Evart K.	. Nomm B.

Preview

Rapla leads series 2-1. 4th leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pärnu won 1.

Pärnu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rapla is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Pärnu have a series of guest games.

In this match Rapla is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Pärnu won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1498:1559 (average 74.9:78).

Including matches at home between the teams Pärnu won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 654:660 (average 72.7:73.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Pärnu
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
23.04.25	Rapla - Pärnu	100:69 ✺
19.04.25	Pärnu - Rapla	82:75 ✺
16.04.25	Rapla - Pärnu	87:66 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
15.03.25	Valmiera Glass Via - Pärnu	102:79 ✺
11.03.25	Liepāja - Pärnu	98:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLL
- Rapla KK
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
23.04.25	Rapla - Pärnu	100:69 ✺
19.04.25	Pärnu - Rapla	82:75 ✺
16.04.25	Rapla - Pärnu	87:66 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
15.03.25	Rapla - Ogre	76:84 ✺
12.03.25	Latvijas Universitāte - Rapla	70:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
23.04.25	Rapla - Pärnu	100:69
19.04.25	Pärnu - Rapla	82:75
16.04.25	Rapla - Pärnu	87:66
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
08.02.25	Rapla - Pärnu	113:76
03.12.24	Pärnu - Rapla	78:80
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
25.05.24	Rapla - Pärnu	82:66
23.05.24	Pärnu - Rapla	65:68

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