Match Info

Korvpalli Meistriliiga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Parnu Spordihall (Parnu)


	Pärnu		Tartu Rock

	1	2
			Watch
	2.42	1.46
	2.56	1.41
	2.4	1.49	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.57)	1.49 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu
38.5%

Tartu Rock
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Tartu Rock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Rock than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Pärnu - Tartu Rock Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pärnu will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tartu Rock will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harris D.	16. Andre R.
22. Hint A.	35. Ilver M.
14. Ilves G.	0. McBride B.
11. Johansson D.	40. Paasoja M. (C)
12. Mohamed Y.	3. Painter D.
Substitutes
2. Aav S. (C)	8. Bernard M.
33. Allik W.	11. Jurtsenko K. G.
5. Eelmae H.	5. Laane R.
16. Lootus K.	9. Lips K.
10. Ogemuno-Johnson A.	20. Nurger R.
24. Sonntak K.	4. Saar H.
0. Vaikmae T.	2. Valge R.
Coaches
. Evart K.	. Kuusmaa A.

Preview

Parnu leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu won 2.

Pärnu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tartu Rock has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Tartu Rock has had a series of home games.

Tartu Rock might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Pärnu will win today's game, with odds of 2.34.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pärnu won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1572:1628. (average 78.6:81.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 737:764. (average 81.9:84.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Pärnu
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
04.05.26	Tartu Rock - Pärnu	82:75 ✺
30.04.26	Pärnu - Tartu Rock	101:81 ✺
27.04.26	Tartu Rock - Pärnu	76:84 ✺
16.04.26	Pärnu - Viimsi	94:69 ✺
13.04.26	Viimsi - Pärnu	81:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWWW
- Tartu Rock
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
04.05.26	Tartu Rock - Pärnu	82:75 ✺
30.04.26	Pärnu - Tartu Rock	101:81 ✺
27.04.26	Tartu Rock - Pärnu	76:84 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
08.04.26	Tartu Rock - Valmiera Glass Via	95:100 ✺
03.04.26	Tartu Rock - Tallinna Kalev	89:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
04.05.26	Tartu Rock - Pärnu	82:75
30.04.26	Pärnu - Tartu Rock	101:81
27.04.26	Tartu Rock - Pärnu	76:84
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
23.03.26	Pärnu - Tartu Rock	88:89 OT
20.03.26	Tartu Rock - Pärnu	80:71
04.03.26	Pärnu - Tartu Rock	70:91
01.11.25	Tartu Rock - Pärnu	83:71

Pärnu - Tartu Rock: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide