Match Info

IBL

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: GOR Universitas Medan (Medan)


	Rajawali Medan		Satya Wacana

	1	2
	1.13	4.65
	1.04	6.3
	1.11	5.53	Watch
	1.08	6.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.3)	5.71 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rajawali Medan
84%

Satya Wacana
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rajawali Medan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rajawali Medan's performance.

Satya Wacana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Satya Wacana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rajawali Medan than the current prediction. (-20.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rajawali Medan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Satya Wacana than the current prediction. (+20.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Satya Wacana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rajawali Medan - Satya Wacana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:71

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Hester A. (C)	3. Gilmore III L.
14. Majak M.	27. Kane S.
94. Moore M.	0. Kangu K.
7. Oei J.	12. Lakay H. (C)
20. Susanto S.	25. Teemo T.
Substitutes
11. Atmaja J.	77. Bintang M.
17. Effendy L.	18. Mailensun I.
15. Frans D.	8. Mendita K.
6. Manuel A.	23. Pavlov S.
8. Sebastian D.	13. Rahadiyanto Y.
77. Wimbardi G.	5. Sualang H.
13. Yeremia Y.	1. Wijaya R.
Coaches
. Meldi E.	. Lolowang J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rajawali Medan won 3.

Rajawali Medan has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Satya Wacana's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Satya Wacana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rajawali Medan is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rajawali Medan won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 526:535. (average 65.8:66.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Rajawali Medan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 170:191. (average 56.7:63.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rajawali Medan
Indonesian IBL
06.05.26	Rajawali Medan - Kesatria Bengawan Solo	97:110 OT ✺
26.04.26	Rajawali Medan - Dewa United	75:78 ✺
24.04.26	Rajawali Medan - Pacific Caesar Surabaya	67:71 ✺
17.04.26	Hangtuah Sumsel IM - Rajawali Medan	78:65 ✺
03.04.26	Satria Muda Jakarta - Rajawali Medan	89:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Satya Wacana
Indonesian IBL
01.05.26	Satya Wacana - Pelita Jaya Jakarta	46:68 ✺
25.04.26	Satya Wacana - Tangerang Hawks	76:93 ✺
22.04.26	Satya Wacana - Kesatria Bengawan Solo	76:102 ✺
18.04.26	Bogor Hornbills - Satya Wacana	75:77 ✺
15.04.26	Pacific Caesar Surabaya - Satya Wacana	98:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian IBL
16.01.26	Satya Wacana - Rajawali Medan	60:76
09.05.25	Rajawali Medan - Satya Wacana	60:57
25.01.25	Satya Wacana - Rajawali Medan	78:74
24.03.24	Rajawali Medan - Satya Wacana	56:65
19.01.24	Satya Wacana - Rajawali Medan	66:78
22.06.23	Satya Wacana - Rajawali Medan	75:78
03.02.23	Satya Wacana - Rajawali Medan	65:50

Rajawali Medan - Satya Wacana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide