Match Info

EUROPE: Latvia-Estonian League

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Sadolin Spordihoone (Rapla)


	Rapla		BK Ventspils

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.48
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.29	1.57
	2.31	1.6	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.39	1.53
	2.37	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.09)	1.53 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rapla
39.2%

BK Ventspils
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rapla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rapla's form might have worsened.

BK Ventspils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BK Ventspils's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapla than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rapla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BK Ventspils than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BK Ventspils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rapla - BK Ventspils Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rapla will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Krumins E.	2. Ausejs A. (C)
1. McCreary J.	10. Berze R.
0. Mckissic B.	5. Randolph M.
19. Niits T.	11. Watson Z.
8. Ruubel M.	30. Zakis R.
Substitutes
5. Eelmae H. (C)	44. Censonis J.
11. Ezeagu K.	13. Donis R.
3. Jakk R.	23. Hazners E.
22. Kajupank I.	31. Mezulis E.
32. Kilk K.
4. Laane R.
6. Ratas J.
Coaches
. Nomm B.	. Fogels G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rapla won 0.

Recent matches Rapla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ventspils is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ventspils will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Rapla to win the game is with odds 2.36.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Rapla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 1061:1311 (average 70.7:87.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Rapla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 482:604 (average 68.9:86.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rapla KK
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
01.11.24	Rapla - Rīgas Zeļļi	66:96 ✺
26.10.24	Rapla - Latvijas Universitāte	79:60 ✺
19.10.24	VEF Riga - Rapla	84:62 ✺
15.10.24	Rapla - Keila	100:73 ✺
13.10.24	Viimsi - Rapla	80:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWW
- BK Ventspils
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
01.11.24	BK Ventspils - Tartu Rock	92:93 ✺
26.10.24	TalTech - BK Ventspils	93:87 ✺
18.10.24	BK Ventspils - Valmiera Glass Via	91:95 ✺
08.10.24	BK Ventspils - Keila	116:78 ✺
05.10.24	Ogre - BK Ventspils	95:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
05.03.24	Rapla - BK Ventspils	72:76
03.11.23	BK Ventspils - Rapla	88:78
23.12.22	BK Ventspils - Rapla	82:74
22.10.22	Rapla - BK Ventspils	78:87
11.03.22	BK Ventspils - Rapla	91:81
20.11.21	Rapla - BK Ventspils	82:94
08.04.21	BK Ventspils - Rapla	69:79

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