Match Info

EUROPE: Eurocup - Round 14

Date: 7 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ratiopharm Arena (Ulm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Slovakia	Sport TV2


	Ratiopharm Ulm		Gran Canaria 2014

	1	2
	2.15	1.74	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.05	1.78	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.01	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.25)	1.74 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ratiopharm Ulm
45.8%

Gran Canaria 2014
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ratiopharm Ulm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Gran Canaria 2014 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratiopharm Ulm than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ratiopharm Ulm that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Canaria 2014 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gran Canaria 2014 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.2%	0%	3.8%

Ratiopharm Ulm - Gran Canaria 2014 Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 25 - 96.2%). Gran Canaria will win (votes: 1 - 3.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulm: 88.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Essengue N.	12. Alocen C.
35. Jallow K.	9. Brussino N.
10. Jessup J.	13. Pelos P.
22. Klepeisz T.	32. Thomasson J.
15. Roby I.	18. Tobey M.
Substitutes
13. Bretzel N.	16. Bordon D.
14. Herkenhoff P.	4. Conditt G.
7. Jensen T. B.	35. Diop M.
3. Marcio	5. Homesley C.
9. Plummer A.	3. Kljajic J.
77. Saraf B.	21. Ngouama M.
0. Weidemann N.	10. Salvo M.
Coaches
. Harrelson T.	. Lakovic J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ulm won 2.

Ulm is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gran Canaria is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gran Canaria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ulm won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 699:745 (average 87.4:93.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ulm won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 293:280 (average 97.7:93.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ratiopharm Ulm
German BBL
04.01.25	Mitteldeutscher - Ratiopharm Ulm	89:92 ✺
02.01.25	Brose Bamberg - Ratiopharm Ulm	77:98 ✺
Eurocup
26.12.24	Ratiopharm Ulm - Beşiktaş	104:87 ✺
German BBL
23.12.24	Skyliners Frankfurt - Ratiopharm Ulm	87:85 ✺
Eurocup
18.12.24	Ratiopharm Ulm - BC Wolves	114:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW
- Gran Canaria 2014
Spanish ACB League
05.01.25	Granada - Gran Canaria 2014	82:97 ✺
Eurocup
02.01.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - Hapoel Tel Aviv	64:87 ✺
Spanish ACB League
30.12.24	Joventut Badalona - Gran Canaria 2014	89:78 ✺
27.12.24	Gran Canaria 2014 - Valencia	97:94 ✺
22.12.24	Gran Canaria 2014 - Basket Zaragoza	96:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Eurocup
22.10.24	Gran Canaria 2014 - Ratiopharm Ulm	125:78
12.12.23	Ratiopharm Ulm - Gran Canaria 2014	103:99 OT
11.10.23	Gran Canaria 2014 - Ratiopharm Ulm	111:82
15.03.22	Ratiopharm Ulm - Gran Canaria 2014	93:94
08.12.21	Gran Canaria 2014 - Ratiopharm Ulm	81:96
13.12.17	Gran Canaria 2014 - Ratiopharm Ulm	97:84
25.10.17	Ratiopharm Ulm - Gran Canaria 2014	97:87

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