The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reggiana 54.9%
Derthona Basket Tortona 45.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.5%
47.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
51.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Derthona Basket Tortona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reggiana that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derthona Basket Tortona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Reggiana - Derthona Basket Tortona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:83
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 4.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Reggiana could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Reggiana has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 852:889 (averaging 77.5:80.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Reggiana against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 394:393 goals (averaging 78.8:78.6 per game).
Outrights of Italian Lega A Basketball for now
Reggiana: 2.69%
Standings
Pl
W
L
Pts
8
Tortona
2
1
1
171:201
2
13
Reggiana
2
0
2
171:182
0
Last Results with these Odds
Reggiana - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.48%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.