Match Info

Lega A - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: PalaBigi (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Lucotti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Italy	LBA TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3


	Reggiana		Olimpia Milano

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.5	Watch
	2.63	1.49
	2.4	1.55
	2.55	1.5
	2.43	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (3.01)	1.53 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggiana
38%

Olimpia Milano
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reggiana's performance.

Olimpia Milano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpia Milano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Milano than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Reggiana - Olimpia Milano Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Olimpia Milano will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggiana: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Reggiana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 161.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Woldetensae T.	31. Shields S.
20. Severini L.	16. LeDay Z.
11. Williams B.	32. Nebo J.
0. Barford J.	12. Brooks A.
10. Caupain T.	3. Ellis Q.
Substitutes
2. Brown S.	10. Bolmaro L.
26. Echenique J.	25. Diop O.
8. Mainini O.	21. Flaccadori D.
6. Rossato R.	23. Guduric M.
4. Thor J.	1. Mannion N.
16. Uglietti L.	17. Ricci G.
31. Vitali M.	7. Tonut S.
Coaches
. Priftis D.	. Poeta G.

Preview

Milano leads series 2-0. Third leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 1.

In recent matches, Reggiana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Olimpia Milano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Olimpia Milano will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 1435:1683. (average 71.8:84.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Reggiana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 549:625. (average 68.6:78.1).

Outrights of Italian Lega A Basketball for now

Reggiana: 2.69%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
11	Olimpia Milano	2	1	1	155:154	2
13	Reggiana	2	0	2	171:182	0

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Milano - the odds 1.34 are the expected chance of winning is 69.24%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reggiana BC
Italian Lega A Basketball
18.05.26	Olimpia Milano - Reggiana	77:65 ✺
16.05.26	Olimpia Milano - Reggiana	96:84 ✺
10.05.26	Treviso Basket - Reggiana	78:77 ✺
03.05.26	Reggiana - Napoli Basket	91:80 ✺
26.04.26	Reggiana - Derthona Basket Tortona	88:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWW
- Olimpia Milano
Italian Lega A Basketball
18.05.26	Olimpia Milano - Reggiana	77:65 ✺
16.05.26	Olimpia Milano - Reggiana	96:84 ✺
10.05.26	Basket Trento - Olimpia Milano	84:74 ✺
03.05.26	Olimpia Milano - Trieste	86:78 ✺
26.04.26	Venezia - Olimpia Milano	85:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
18.05.26	Olimpia Milano - Reggiana	77:65
16.05.26	Olimpia Milano - Reggiana	96:84
05.04.26	Olimpia Milano - Reggiana	80:76
02.11.25	Reggiana - Olimpia Milano	61:93
06.04.25	Reggiana - Olimpia Milano	87:78
12.01.25	Olimpia Milano - Reggiana	108:106
30.03.24	Reggiana - Olimpia Milano	68:72

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