Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday


	Rider Broncs		Fairfield Stags

	1	2
	1.56	2.5
	1.52	2.38	Watch
	1.63	2.34
	1.56	2.37
	1.57	2.3
	1.58	2.47
	1.52	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.44)	2.39 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 139.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rider Broncs
60.5%

Fairfield Stags
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rider Broncs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rider Broncs's form might have worsened.

Fairfield Stags has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fairfield Stags's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rider Broncs than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rider Broncs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fairfield Stags than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fairfield Stags, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rider Broncs - Fairfield Stags Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:68

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rider won 2.

Recent matches Rider is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fairfield is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rider will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Rider won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1394:1387 (average 69.7:69.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Rider won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 485:471 (average 69.3:67.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rider Broncs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
16.02.25	St. Peters Peacocks - Rider Broncs	66:65 ✺
14.02.25	Iona Gaels - Rider Broncs	71:74 ✺
08.02.25	Rider Broncs - Siena Saints	61:59 ✺
06.02.25	Sacred Heart Pioneers - Rider Broncs	89:77 ✺
02.02.25	Rider Broncs - Merrimack Warriors	64:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLL
- Fairfield Stags basketball
NCAA College Basketball
16.02.25	Fairfield Stags - Manhattan Jaspers	67:80 ✺
14.02.25	St. Peters Peacocks - Fairfield Stags	65:52 ✺
08.02.25	Fairfield Stags - Sacred Heart Pioneers	71:77 ✺
06.02.25	Fairfield Stags - Marist Red Foxes	59:56 ✺
02.02.25	Iona Gaels - Fairfield Stags	87:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
04.12.24	Fairfield Stags - Rider Broncs	78:75
08.02.24	Fairfield Stags - Rider Broncs	84:67
03.12.23	Rider Broncs - Fairfield Stags	81:88
10.02.23	Rider Broncs - Fairfield Stags	58:57
29.01.23	Fairfield Stags - Rider Broncs	69:78 OT
03.03.22	Fairfield Stags - Rider Broncs	65:59
28.01.22	Rider Broncs - Fairfield Stags	65:76

Rider Broncs - Fairfield Stags: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide