Match Info

NBL1 West - Play Offs - Final

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Rockingham Flames		Geraldton Buccaneers

	1	2
	1.44	2.60
	1.4	2.52
	1.33	3.03
	1.34	2.92	Watch
	1.3	2.95
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.39	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)	2.78 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 185.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rockingham Flames
67%

Geraldton Buccaneers
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rockingham Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Geraldton Buccaneers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rockingham Flames than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rockingham Flames that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geraldton Buccaneers than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Geraldton Buccaneers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rockingham Flames - Geraldton Buccaneers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 97:90

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rockingham won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Recently, Rockingham has had a series of home games.

Rockingham might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rockingham won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 913:888. (average 91.3:88.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rockingham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 376:349. (average 94:87.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rockingham Flames
Australian NBL1 West Women
08.08.26	Cockburn Cougars - Rockingham Flames	102:116 ✺
06.08.26	Rockingham Flames - Perry Lakes Hawks	88:75 ✺
01.08.26	Rockingham Flames - Joondalup Wolves	97:99 ✺
24.07.26	Rockingham Flames - Perth Redbacks	127:62 ✺
Australian NBL1 West
18.07.26	Rockingham Flames - Willetton Tigers	107:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWW
- Geraldton Buccaneers
Australian NBL1 West Women
09.08.26	Joondalup Wolves - Geraldton Buccaneers	76:88 ✺
07.08.26	Geraldton Buccaneers - Willetton Tigers	78:74 ✺
01.08.26	Geraldton Buccaneers - Cockburn Cougars	95:110 ✺
Australian NBL1 West
25.07.26	Perry Lakes Hawks - Geraldton Buccaneers	110:125 ✺
Australian NBL1 West Women
18.07.26	Geraldton Buccaneers - East Perth Eagles	91:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 West
04.07.26	Geraldton Buccaneers - Rockingham Flames	102:93
Australian NBL1 West Women
21.06.26	Rockingham Flames - Geraldton Buccaneers	92:75
Australian NBL1 West
26.04.25	Rockingham Flames - Geraldton Buccaneers	99:85
06.07.24	Geraldton Buccaneers - Rockingham Flames	93:94
15.06.24	Rockingham Flames - Geraldton Buccaneers	94:116
20.05.23	Geraldton Buccaneers - Rockingham Flames	92:91
03.09.22	Geraldton Buccaneers - Rockingham Flames	79:91

Rockingham Flames - Geraldton Buccaneers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide