Match Info

NKL

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Active Vilnius Arena (Vilnius)


	Rytas 2		Neptūnas-Akvaservis

	1	2
	1.28	3.15	Watch
	1.34	2.92	Watch
	1.29	3.25
	1.33	2.9
	1.26	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.41)	3.14 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rytas 2
70.7%

Neptūnas-Akvaservis
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rytas 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rytas 2's performance.

Neptūnas-Akvaservis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neptūnas-Akvaservis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rytas 2 than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas-Akvaservis than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Rytas 2 - Neptūnas Akvaservis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:73

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Adomaitis V.	6. Jonkus E. (C)
13. Kasparas D.	77. Lesciauskas K.
22. Krizanauskas G.	13. Maciulis R.
19. Stuknys N.	24. Metrikis K.
16. Urbonas I. (C)	31. Zilius E.
Substitutes
14. Bubnys G.	1. Erlickis A.
35. Buivydas G.	28. Remeikis D.
5. Liutkevicius M.	12. Sakaitis R.
2. Pocius A.	7. Sarakauskas S.
23. Sirgedas E.	39. Virkutis J.
10. Vilutis A.	10. Zymantas A.
Coaches
. Kadziulis G.	. Gaidamavicius T.

Preview

In recent matches, Rytas 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Neptūnas-Akvaservis's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rytas 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rytas 2 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rytas 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 280:299. (average 70:74.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rytas 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 149:162. (average 74.5:81).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
11	Neptunas 2	3	1	2	247:240	1
16	Rytas 2	3	0	3	240:265	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rytas 2
Lietuvos NKL
22.12.25	Rytas 2 - Vilniaus Stekas	111:103 OT ✺
20.12.25	Kėdainiai - Rytas 2	73:94 ✺
18.12.25	Rytas 2 - Alytaus Alytus	95:82 ✺
13.12.25	Vytis Šakiai - Rytas 2	90:87 ✺
11.12.25	Rytas 2 - Sūduva	65:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLL
- Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis
Lietuvos NKL
13.12.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Vilniaus Stekas	92:93 OT ✺
11.12.25	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	72:62 ✺
06.12.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Alytaus Alytus	75:81 ✺
04.12.25	Kėdainiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	72:75 ✺
29.11.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Sūduva	73:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
30.10.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Rytas 2	76:66
11.02.25	Rytas 2 - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	90:81
25.01.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Rytas 2	61:65
03.10.24	Rytas 2 - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	59:81

Upcoming Matches