Match Info

NBB - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Ginasio do Morumbi (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Kover F. (Bra)


	São Paulo		Bauru

	1	2
	1.71	2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.75	1.92	Watch
	1.83	1.99
	1.85	1.87
	1.8	1.91
	1.82	1.9	Watch
	1.75	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.68)	1.94 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
52.2%

Bauru
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Bauru has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bauru than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

São Paulo - Bauru Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ansaloni R.	23. Andrezao
3. Bennett C.	3. Brite D.
5. Fischer R.	10. Garcia A.
33. Miller M.	9. Pedro
7. Paulo	6. Silva G.
Substitutes
40. Bresolin A.	13. Brandao L.
10. Coelho H.	7. Gustavo
34. Criciuma	20. Igor Rocha
16. Igor Andrade	15. Maciel M.
14. Miguel Santos	19. Mogi Alves
20. Nunes T.	5. Rossetto D.
2. Oliveira J.
Coaches
. Fernandes F.	. Cezar P.

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 2.

São Paulo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bauru's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1308:1217. (average 81.8:76.1).

Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 687:597. (average 85.9:74.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC Basketball
Brazilian NBB
03.05.25	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	78:77 OT ✺
30.04.25	Brasília Basquete - São Paulo	86:81 ✺
28.04.25	Brasília Basquete - São Paulo	54:69 ✺
24.04.25	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	66:62 ✺
19.04.25	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	88:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWWW
- Paschoalotto Bauru
Brazilian NBB
03.05.25	Bauru - Paulistano	85:80 OT ✺
30.04.25	Paulistano - Bauru	54:84 ✺
27.04.25	Bauru - Paulistano	60:62 ✺
25.04.25	Bauru - Paulistano	81:63 ✺
22.04.25	Paulistano - Bauru	93:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
11.01.25	Bauru - São Paulo	75:73
26.10.24	São Paulo - Bauru	78:68
06.01.24	São Paulo - Bauru	89:93 OT
24.10.23	Bauru - São Paulo	87:66
02.03.23	Bauru - São Paulo	74:81
17.11.22	São Paulo - Bauru	82:73
03.05.22	Bauru - São Paulo	71:88

São Paulo - Bauru: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide