Match Info

NBB - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Ginasio do Morumbi (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Leite F. (Bra)


	São Paulo		Brasília Basquete

	1	2
	1.59	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.1
	1.66	2.23
	1.63	2.17
	1.67	2.1
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.65)	2.16 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
57%

Brasília Basquete
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Brasília Basquete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasília Basquete than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

São Paulo - Brasília Basquete Predictions

Users Predictions: São Paulo will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): São Paulo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ansaloni R.	30. Daniel
3. Bennett C.	9. da Silva P.
5. Fischer R.	25. Nesbitt D.
33. Miller M.	35. Sacco G.
7. Paulo	10. Santana L.
Substitutes
40. Bresolin A.	77. Belle
10. Coelho H.	19. Bonfim M.
34. Criciuma	7. Cook A.
16. Igor Andrade	8. Gui Santos
14. Miguel Santos	20. Magna G.
20. Nunes T.	16. Rodrigues A.
2. Oliveira J.
Coaches
. Fernandes F.	. Barbosa D.

Preview

Sao Paulo leads series 2-1. 4th leg./

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 4.

São Paulo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brasília Basquete's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that São Paulo will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1286:1092. (average 85.7:72.8).

Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 593:478. (average 84.7:68.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC Basketball
Brazilian NBB
30.04.25	Brasília Basquete - São Paulo	86:81 ✺
28.04.25	Brasília Basquete - São Paulo	54:69 ✺
24.04.25	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	66:62 ✺
19.04.25	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	88:79 ✺
12.04.25	São Paulo - Minas	71:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWWWW
- Brasília Basquete
Brazilian NBB
30.04.25	Brasília Basquete - São Paulo	86:81 ✺
28.04.25	Brasília Basquete - São Paulo	54:69 ✺
24.04.25	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	66:62 ✺
19.04.25	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	88:79 ✺
17.04.25	Paulistano - Brasília Basquete	81:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
30.04.25	Brasília Basquete - São Paulo	86:81
28.04.25	Brasília Basquete - São Paulo	54:69
24.04.25	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	66:62
19.04.25	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	88:79
21.12.24	Brasília Basquete - São Paulo	83:85
02.04.24	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	93:84
23.12.23	Brasília Basquete - São Paulo	63:72

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