Match Info

NBB - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Arena BRB Nilson Nelson (Brasília)

Referee: Lelis G. (Bra)


	Brasília Basquete		São Paulo

	1	2
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.44	2.5
	1.43	2.82
	1.46	2.55
	1.4	2.75
	1.46	2.59	Watch
	1.44	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.36)	2.6 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasília Basquete
64.2%

São Paulo
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasília Basquete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasília Basquete than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Brasília Basquete - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Brasília Basquete will win (votes: 1 - 25%). São Paulo will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): São Paulo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Daniel	33. Miller M.
9. da Silva P.	7. Paulo
25. Nesbitt D.	22. Ansaloni R.
35. Sacco G.	5. Fischer R.
10. Santana L.	3. Bennett C.
Substitutes
77. Belle	40. Bresolin A.
19. Bonfim M.	10. Coelho H.
7. Cook A.	34. Criciuma
8. Gui Santos	14. Miguel Santos
6. Gustavo	20. Nunes T.
20. Magna G.	2. Oliveira J.
16. Rodrigues A.
Coaches
. Barbosa D.	. Fernandes F.

Preview

Sao Paulo leads series 2-0. 3rd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Brasília Basquete won 0.

Brasília Basquete has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).

São Paulo is in first-class shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).

São Paulo could have advantage in physical - more days for rest in last days.

Brasília Basquete will have a small advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Brasília Basquete won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1006:1205 (average 71.9:86.1).

Including matches at home between the teams, Brasília Basquete won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 528:612 (average 75.4:87.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasília Basquete
Brazilian NBB
28.04.25	Brasília Basquete - São Paulo	54:69 ✺
24.04.25	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	66:62 ✺
19.04.25	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	88:79 ✺
17.04.25	Paulistano - Brasília Basquete	81:69 ✺
08.04.25	Brasília Basquete - Flamengo	79:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- São Paulo FC Basketball
Brazilian NBB
28.04.25	Brasília Basquete - São Paulo	54:69 ✺
24.04.25	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	66:62 ✺
19.04.25	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	88:79 ✺
12.04.25	São Paulo - Minas	71:67 ✺
05.04.25	Botafogo - São Paulo	86:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
28.04.25	Brasília Basquete - São Paulo	54:69
24.04.25	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	66:62
19.04.25	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	88:79
21.12.24	Brasília Basquete - São Paulo	83:85
02.04.24	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	93:84
23.12.23	Brasília Basquete - São Paulo	63:72
10.03.23	São Paulo - Brasília Basquete	88:72

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