Match Info

LBP - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday

Location: Coliseo Jorge Arango Uribe (Manizales)


	Sabios de Manizales		Motilones del Norte

	1	2
	2.7	1.31
	1.56	2.24	Watch
	2.75	1.41
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.83)	1.7 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 147.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabios de Manizales
43.4%

Motilones del Norte
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabios de Manizales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sabios de Manizales's form might have worsened.

Motilones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motilones del Norte's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabios de Manizales than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sabios de Manizales, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motilones del Norte than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motilones del Norte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sabios de Manizales - Motilones del Norte Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sabios will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 145.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Acosta J.	34. Abad R.
8. Carrera C.	15. Carmona A. (C)
21. Nino K. (C)	2. Colome Y.
0. Salazar A.	9. Morales F.
5. Zapata J.	22. Mosquera Y.
Substitutes
14. Castro D.	4. Barco J.
22. Lucena F.	0. Boyd B.
1. Murillo F.	6. Cabeza W.
7. Paez C.	63. Lizcano J.
4. Pomare R.	21. Marcano S.
15. Villalba E.	23. Price S.
	25. Venner D.
Coaches
. Palacios K.	. Carreno J.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. 3rd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabios de Manizales won 3.

Sabios de Manizales has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Motilones del Norte has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Sabios de Manizales has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sabios de Manizales won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 995:1118. (average 71.1:79.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sabios de Manizales won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 506:530. (average 72.3:75.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabios de Manizales
Colombian LBP Basketball
16.11.25	Sabios de Manizales - Motilones del Norte	76:75 ✺
15.11.25	Motilones del Norte - Sabios de Manizales	70:57 ✺
08.11.25	Caimanes del Llano - Sabios de Manizales	Sabios de Manizales awarded ✺
07.11.25	Caimanes del Llano - Sabios de Manizales	80:87 ✺
04.11.25	Paisas de Medellín - Sabios de Manizales	95:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WL?WL
- Motilones del Norte
Colombian LBP Basketball
16.11.25	Sabios de Manizales - Motilones del Norte	76:75 ✺
15.11.25	Motilones del Norte - Sabios de Manizales	70:57 ✺
08.11.25	Motilones del Norte - Paisas de Medellín	48:89 ✺
07.11.25	Motilones del Norte - Paisas de Medellín	78:123 ✺
05.11.25	Cimarrones del Chocó - Motilones del Norte	118:111 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian LBP Basketball
16.11.25	Sabios de Manizales - Motilones del Norte	76:75
15.11.25	Motilones del Norte - Sabios de Manizales	70:57
31.10.25	Sabios de Manizales - Motilones del Norte	80:53
30.10.25	Sabios de Manizales - Motilones del Norte	77:63
19.06.25	Motilones del Norte - Sabios de Manizales	91:85 OT
18.06.25	Motilones del Norte - Sabios de Manizales	74:70
07.06.25	Sabios de Manizales - Motilones del Norte	63:77

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