Match Info

NBA

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Golden 1 Center (Sacramento, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	NBA Global League Pass


	Sacramento Kings		Atlanta Hawks

	1	2
	2.5	1.56	Watch
	2.45	1.55
	2.5	1.59
	2.24	1.64	Watch
	2.6	1.57
	2.28	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.24)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 231.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Kings
39.4%

Atlanta Hawks
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Kings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Atlanta Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Kings than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Hawks than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Sacramento Kings - Atlanta Hawks Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sacramento will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Atlanta will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sacramento: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Sacramento (votes: 6 - 50%). Atlanta (votes: 6 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1, OT - Sacramento (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Sacramento (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Atlanta (votes: 6 - 46.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 114:119

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. DeRozan D.	10. Risacher Z.
9. Achiuwa P.	1. Johnson J.
11. Sabonis D.	8. Porzingis K.
18. Westbrook R.	7. Alexander-Walker N.
17. Schroder D.	5. Daniels D.
Substitutes
22. Carter D.	18. Gueye M.
5. Clifford N.	33. Houstan C.
23. Ellis K.	3. Kennard L.
19. Eubanks D.	27. Krejci V.
7. McDermott D.	14. Newell A.
29. Plowden D.	17. Okongwu O.
42. Raynaud M.	2. Wallace K.
20. Saric D.
Coaches
. Christie D.	. Snyder Q.

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento won 4.

Recent form of Sacramento has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlanta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sacramento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sacramento has had a series of home games.

Atlanta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sacramento: Carter D. (Illness) Murray K. (Finger Injury)

There will not play in Atlanta: Alexander-Walker N. (Back Injury) Djurisic N. (Elbow Injury) Young T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sacramento won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2137:2145. (average 106.9:107.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 998:950. (average 110.9:105.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlanta Hawks - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.73%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Kings
NBA
11.11.25	Sacramento Kings - Denver Nuggets	108:122 ✺
09.11.25	Sacramento Kings - Minnesota Timberwolves	117:144 ✺
07.11.25	Sacramento Kings - Oklahoma City Thunder	101:132 ✺
05.11.25	Sacramento Kings - Golden State Warriors	121:116 ✺
03.11.25	Denver Nuggets - Sacramento Kings	130:124 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- Atlanta Hawks
NBA
10.11.25	Los Angeles Clippers - Atlanta Hawks	102:105 ✺
08.11.25	Atlanta Hawks - Los Angeles Lakers	122:102 ✺
07.11.25	Atlanta Hawks - Toronto Raptors	97:109 ✺
04.11.25	Atlanta Hawks - Orlando Magic	127:112 ✺
02.11.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Atlanta Hawks	117:109 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NBA
18.11.24	Sacramento Kings - Atlanta Hawks	108:109
01.11.24	Atlanta Hawks - Sacramento Kings	115:123
22.01.24	Sacramento Kings - Atlanta Hawks	122:107
29.12.23	Atlanta Hawks - Sacramento Kings	110:117
NBA Las Vegas Summer League
07.07.23	Atlanta Hawks - Sacramento Kings	76:80
NBA
04.01.23	Sacramento Kings - Atlanta Hawks	117:120
23.11.22	Atlanta Hawks - Sacramento Kings	115:106

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