Match Info

B.League

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Saga Arena (Saga)


	Saga Ballooners		Koshigaya Alphas

	1	2
	1.38	2.85
	1.34	2.85	Watch
	1.55	2.24	Watch
	1.35	3
	1.4	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.55)	2.76 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saga Ballooners
66.3%

Koshigaya Alphas
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saga Ballooners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saga Ballooners's performance.

Koshigaya Alphas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Koshigaya Alphas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saga Ballooners than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saga Ballooners that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koshigaya Alphas than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Koshigaya Alphas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Saga Ballooners - Koshigaya Alphas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Dudzinski D.	5. Clemmons A.
22. Groves T.	45. Doumbouya S.
34. Inoue R. (C)	6. Hamilton Gary K.
25. Tsunoda T.	7. Matsuyama S.
18. Uchio S.	28. Sugawara K.
Substitutes
13. Abe R.	8. Diawara J.
60. Fieler C.	12. Ikeda Y.
55. Harrellson J.	18. Kamata Y.
7. Hashimoto K.	31. Kitagawa S. (C)
14. Kanamaru K.	1. Martin J.
21. Tomiyama T.	14. Oba T.
	4. Shike K.
Coaches
. Miyanaga Y.	. Anzai R.

Preview

Saga has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Koshigaya Alphas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Koshigaya Alphas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Saga has had a series of away games.

Saga could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Saga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 227:266. (average 75.7:88.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Saga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 227:266. (average 75.7:88.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saga Ballooners
Japan B League Premier
25.10.25	Saga Ballooners - Koshigaya Alphas	78:94 ✺
19.10.25	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Saga Ballooners	91:79 ✺
18.10.25	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Saga Ballooners	114:92 ✺
15.10.25	Shimane Susanoo Magic - Saga Ballooners	79:87 ✺
11.10.25	Nagasaki Velca - Saga Ballooners	85:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLWL
- Koshigaya Alphas
Japan B League Premier
25.10.25	Saga Ballooners - Koshigaya Alphas	78:94 ✺
19.10.25	Koshigaya Alphas - Kyoto Hannaryz	67:73 ✺
18.10.25	Koshigaya Alphas - Kyoto Hannaryz	64:62 ✺
15.10.25	Yokohama B-Corsairs - Koshigaya Alphas	70:72 ✺
12.10.25	Koshigaya Alphas - Altiri Chiba	64:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
25.10.25	Saga Ballooners - Koshigaya Alphas	78:94
26.01.25	Saga Ballooners - Koshigaya Alphas	75:90
25.01.25	Saga Ballooners - Koshigaya Alphas	74:82

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