Match Info

Serie A1 Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: PalaCarzaniga (Sesto San Giovanni)


	San Giovanni		Tortona

	1	2
	1.88	1.76
	1.85	1.88
	1.87	1.81
	1.88	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.7)	1.81 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 133.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Giovanni
49.2%

Tortona
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Giovanni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Giovanni, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tortona than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tortona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

San Giovanni - Tortona Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Giovanni will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Tortona will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:68

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Conti G.	5. Conte A.
36. Cornelie-Sigmundova J.	11. Fondren C.
2. Moore T. (C)	4. Fontaine N.
29. Roumy S.	3. Kunaiyi-Akpanah P.
10. Scott M.	41. Penna E.
Substitutes
20. Appetiti A.	13. Arado A.
30. Attura B.	0. Dotto C.
16. Cancelli A.	10. Leonardi F.
7. Kacerik M.	33. Melchiori F. (C)
15. Osazuwa C.	14. Suarez P.
13. Ostoni O.	8. Toffolo S.
12. Trucco V.
Coaches
. Zanotti C.	. Cutugno O.

Preview

BCC Derthona Basket leads series 1-0. Second leg.

San Giovanni has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tortona is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Giovanni won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 264:285. (average 66:71.3).

Including home match between the teams, San Giovanni won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 65:56.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	San Giovanni W	1	1	0	94:71	2
4	Derthona Basket W	1	1	0	75:54	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sesto San Giovanni
Italian Serie A1 Basketball Women
25.03.26	Tortona - San Giovanni	76:70 ✺
04.03.26	San Giovanni - Campobasso	71:50 ✺
28.02.26	Famila Schio - San Giovanni	79:54 ✺
22.02.26	San Giovanni - Dinamo Sassari	59:57 ✺
15.02.26	San Martino Di Lupari - San Giovanni	75:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWL
- Derthona Tortona Women
Italian Serie A1 Basketball Women
25.03.26	Tortona - San Giovanni	76:70 ✺
04.03.26	Tortona - Broni	76:51 ✺
01.03.26	Brixia - Tortona	55:93 ✺
21.02.26	Tortona - Famila Schio	57:65 ✺
15.02.26	Panthers Roseto - Tortona	73:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A1 Basketball Women
25.03.26	Tortona - San Giovanni	76:70
21.12.25	Tortona - San Giovanni	69:49
05.10.25	San Giovanni - Tortona	65:56
Italian Cup Basketball Women
05.01.25	Tortona - San Giovanni	84:80 OT

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