Match Info

Serie A2 Women - Gr. A - Round 20

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Pala Galli (San Giovanni Valdarno)


	San Giovanni Valdarno		Livorno

	1	2
	1.32	2.83
	1.41	2.62	Watch
	1.41	2.69	Watch
	1.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.36)	2.79 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 138.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Giovanni Valdarno
67%

Livorno
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Giovanni Valdarno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Giovanni Valdarno than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Giovanni Valdarno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Livorno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Giovanni Valdarno - Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:66

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Bernardi I.	7. Botteghi A. (C)
45. De Cassan F.	3. Marangoni S.
27. Favre L.	12. Miccio L.
10. Merisio F.	15. Poggio A.
25. Ovner E.	6. Sammartini G.
Substitutes
13. Celani N.	2. Braccagni G.
16. Diakhoumpa D.	18. Cruz C.
8. Lazzaro M. (C)	16. Poggi M.
21. Mosetti M.	9. Rinaldi S.
22. Ngamene Takougang K. L.	8. Sassetti I.
	11. Spagnoli S.
Coaches
. Garcia J.	. Andreoli L.

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, SG Valdarno is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SG Valdarno won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 218:176. (average 72.7:58.7).

Including home match between the teams, SG Valdarno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 83:49.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Giovanni Valdarno
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
14.02.26	Empoli - San Giovanni Valdarno	69:65 ✺
07.02.26	Torino - San Giovanni Valdarno	57:59 ✺
31.01.26	San Giovanni Valdarno - Salerno	105:59 ✺
17.01.26	San Giovanni Valdarno - Sanga Milano	68:74 OT ✺
10.01.26	San Salvatore Selargius - San Giovanni Valdarno	48:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW
- Libertas Livorno Women
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
14.02.26	Livorno - Torino	83:55 ✺
08.02.26	Viterbo Ants - Livorno	49:73 ✺
31.01.26	Livorno - Sanga Milano	61:64 ✺
24.01.26	San Salvatore Selargius - Livorno	34:72 ✺
17.01.26	Basket Costa - Livorno	66:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
27.11.25	Livorno - San Giovanni Valdarno	69:74
01.03.25	Livorno - San Giovanni Valdarno	58:61
23.11.24	San Giovanni Valdarno - Livorno	83:49

San Giovanni Valdarno - Livorno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide