The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Lorenzo de Almagro 61.1%
Atlético Platense 38.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.6%
41.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
46.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo de Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Atlético Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Lorenzo de Almagro that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Platense than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Platense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Lorenzo de Almagro - Atlético Platense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:79
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
7. Aguirre G.
25. Burgos N.
10. Hornbeak C.
13. Cordoba G.
6. Mata M.
30. Cosolito M.
20. Schattmann L.
7. Grun F.
3. Thornton R.
15. Terra F.
Substitutes
5. Actis J.
4. Goicoechea M.
9. Calderon S.
3. Goncalves J.
1. Gargallo L.
12. Morales J.
33. Maricevic A.
21. Pappalardi G.
13. Nesci V.
9. Santiago R.
2. Roca T.
10. Smaniotti F.
21. Tallade S.
2. Urbina A.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Recently, San Lorenzo has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with San Lorenzo holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for San Lorenzo in today's match, at odds of 1.54.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, San Lorenzo has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1238:1196 (averaging 82.5:79.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Lorenzo against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 607:535 goals (averaging 86.7:76.4 per game).