Match Info

ACB - Round 4

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Coliseum Burgos (Burgos)

Referee: Fernandez F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport
Finland	Veikkaus TV


	San Pablo Burgos		Basket Zaragoza

	1	2
	1.8	2.05	Watch
			Watch
	1.74	2.03	Watch
	1.75	2.08
	1.75	1.94	Watch
	1.72	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.77)	2.05 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Pablo Burgos
54%

Basket Zaragoza
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Pablo Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Basket Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Pablo Burgos than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

San Pablo Burgos - Basket Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. SP Burgos will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. SP Burgos (votes: 1 - 50%). Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 181.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. de Sousa S.	2. Bell-Haynes T.
6. Gudmundsson J.	14. Dubljevic B.
56. Jackson J.	00. Robinson D.
23. Meindl L.	20. Stephens D. J.
00. Samuels J.	4. Yusta S.
Substitutes
8. Almazan P.	10. Fernandez J.
10. Corbalan G.	7. Gonzalez M.
11. Diez D.	15. Rodriguez J.
40. Fischer L.	12. Soriano J.
19. Neto R.	0. Spissu M.
3. Nzosa Y.	3. Stevenson E.
7. Rubio J.	23. Traore Y.
Coaches
. Savignani B.	. Ramirez J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SP Burgos won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

SP Burgos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, SP Burgos won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1019:960. (average 84.9:80).

Including home matches between the teams, SP Burgos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 516:503. (average 86:83.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Pablo Burgos
Spanish ACB League
19.10.25	Real Madrid - San Pablo Burgos	90:80 ✺
12.10.25	Bilbao Basket - San Pablo Burgos	95:85 ✺
04.10.25	San Pablo Burgos - Girona	97:79 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
28.09.25	CB Breogán - San Pablo Burgos	94:87 ✺
21.09.25	San Pablo Burgos - Basket Zaragoza	99:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW
- Basket Zaragoza
FIBA Europe Cup
22.10.25	Anorthosis - Basket Zaragoza	67:112 ✺
Spanish ACB League
18.10.25	Basket Zaragoza - CB Breogán	84:88 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
15.10.25	Basket Zaragoza - Falco Szombathely	97:82 ✺
Spanish ACB League
12.10.25	Joventut Badalona - Basket Zaragoza	89:86 ✺
05.10.25	Basket Zaragoza - Baskonia	107:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
21.09.25	San Pablo Burgos - Basket Zaragoza	99:90
Spanish ACB League
26.03.22	San Pablo Burgos - Basket Zaragoza	78:56
25.09.21	Basket Zaragoza - San Pablo Burgos	54:75
Club Friendly Basketball
10.09.21	Basket Zaragoza - San Pablo Burgos	69:76
Spanish ACB League
21.04.21	San Pablo Burgos - Basket Zaragoza	95:98
08.10.20	Basket Zaragoza - San Pablo Burgos	86:100
18.06.20	Basket Zaragoza - San Pablo Burgos	86:92

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