Match Info

ACB - Round 3

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Movistar Arena (Madrid)

Referee: Mendoza E. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Portugal	DAZN 4


	Real Madrid		San Pablo Burgos

	1	2
	1.06	10.5	Watch
	1.06	9.5
	1.08	8.69
	1.07	6.81	Watch
	1.08	8.6	Watch
	1.04	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↑ (1.05)	8.95 ↓ (11)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
89.4%

San Pablo Burgos
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

91.3%

8.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

San Pablo Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Real Madrid - San Pablo Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Real Madrid will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). SP Burgos will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 177.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Abalde A.	22. de Sousa S.
20. Fernando B.	56. Jackson J.
11. Hezonja M.	23. Meindl L.
12. Maledon T.	7. Rubio J.
9. Procida G.	00. Samuels J.
Substitutes
13. Almansa Perez I.	8. Almazan P.
7. Campazzo F.	10. Corbalan G.
14. Deck G.	11. Diez D.
16. Garuba U.	40. Fischer L.
1. Kramer D.	17. Garcia S.
23. Llull S.	19. Neto R.
8. Okeke C.	3. Nzosa Y.
Coaches
. Scariolo S.	. Savignani B.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

SP Burgos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real Madrid is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 998:876. (average 90.7:79.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 456:395. (average 91.2:79).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid basketball
Euroleague
17.10.25	Crvena Zvezda - Real Madrid	90:75 ✺
15.10.25	Real Madrid - Partizan Belgrade	93:86 ✺
Spanish ACB League
12.10.25	Baskonia - Real Madrid	105:100 ✺
Euroleague
09.10.25	Real Madrid - ASVEL Basket	85:72 ✺
Spanish ACB League
05.10.25	Real Madrid - Gran Canaria 2014	81:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWW
- San Pablo Burgos
Spanish ACB League
12.10.25	Bilbao Basket - San Pablo Burgos	95:85 ✺
04.10.25	San Pablo Burgos - Girona	97:79 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
28.09.25	CB Breogán - San Pablo Burgos	94:87 ✺
21.09.25	San Pablo Burgos - Basket Zaragoza	99:90 ✺
12.09.25	San Pablo Burgos - Baskonia	90:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
13.03.22	San Pablo Burgos - Real Madrid	70:85
19.09.21	Real Madrid - San Pablo Burgos	70:63
27.02.21	Real Madrid - San Pablo Burgos	96:81
06.12.20	San Pablo Burgos - Real Madrid	60:74
20.06.20	San Pablo Burgos - Real Madrid	87:83
08.12.19	Real Madrid - San Pablo Burgos	104:93
04.05.19	San Pablo Burgos - Real Madrid	84:102

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